Case study

HARIOMPIPE

HARIOMPIPE

Mixed signals1y model -27.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HARIOMPIPE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) trades at ₹422,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.

On the numbers, HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.2× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HARIOMPIPE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,301 Cr
Current price
₹422
P/E ratio
17.2×
P/B ratio
2.02×
Book value
₹209
Dividend yield
0.14%
ROCE
15.7%
ROE
12.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is HARIOMPIPE overvalued? HARIOMPIPE P/E vs its sector

HARIOMPIPE's P/E of 17.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.14% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

HARIOMPIPE P/E
17.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
HARIOMPIPE div yield
0.14%
Peer median yield
1.65%

HARIOMPIPE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HARIOMPIPE history (-19%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HARIOMPIPE 2027₹153₹300₹589-28%
HARIOMPIPE 2028₹83₹220₹566-47%
HARIOMPIPE 2029₹49₹160₹507-61%
HARIOMPIPE 2030₹29₹115₹455-72%
HARIOMPIPE 2031₹18₹83₹390-80%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HARIOMPIPE goes up, or doubles?

27%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
9%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹830 within 5 years

The bull case for HARIOMPIPE

  • A 17.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 12.4% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹507.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹49.

HARIOMPIPE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years HARIOMPIPE compounded at -19%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹153₹589, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HARIOMPIPE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
27.8%
80% range₹153–₹589
P(price ↑)27%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
61.5%
80% range₹49–₹507
P(price ↑)15%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
80.1%
80% range₹18–₹390
P(price ↑)9%
P(price 2×)2%

HARIOMPIPE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HARIOMPIPE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HARIOMPIPE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HARIOMPIPE price target & forecast page.

HARIOMPIPE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HARIOMPIPE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

HARIOMPIPE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HARIOMPIPE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST40.2%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST40.2%2.5×

Compare every broker on the HARIOMPIPE MTF page.

HARIOMPIPE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
HARIOMPIPE (this stock)17.2×0.14%₹1,301 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About HARIOMPIPE: sector, index & market-cap context

HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,301 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the HARIOMPIPE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HARIOMPIPE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HARIOMPIPE analysis, FAQs

Is HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) a good buy?

On the numbers, HARIOMPIPE (HARIOMPIPE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.2× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HARIOMPIPE overvalued or undervalued?

HARIOMPIPE trades at 17.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the HARIOMPIPE share price target for 2031?

HARIOMPIPE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹83, with an 80% range of ₹18₹390 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HARIOMPIPE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HARIOMPIPE reaching ₹830 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for HARIOMPIPE?

A 17.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.4% return on equity.

What are the risks in HARIOMPIPE?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on HARIOMPIPE