Case study

HARSHA

Harsha Engineers International Ltd.

Tread carefully1y model +4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HARSHA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) trades at ₹426,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 27.8× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HARSHA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,882 Cr
Current price
₹426
P/E ratio
27.8×
P/B ratio
2.77×
Book value
₹154
Dividend yield
0.35%
ROCE
13.0%
ROE
10.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How HARSHA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HARSHA overvalued? HARSHA P/E vs peers

HARSHA trades at 27.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HARSHA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.8y of HARSHA history (-3%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HARSHA 2027₹283₹444₹698+4%
HARSHA 2028₹242₹462₹883+8%
HARSHA 2029₹222₹482₹1,045+13%
HARSHA 2030₹203₹502₹1,237+18%
HARSHA 2031₹190₹522₹1,438+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HARSHA goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹853 within 5 years

The bull case for HARSHA

  • Harsha Engineers International Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,045.

The bear case & risks

  • HARSHA's P/E of 27.8x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HARSHA's return on equity of 10.5% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹222.

HARSHA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.8 years HARSHA compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹283-₹698, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HARSHA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹283-₹698
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.9%
80% range₹222-₹1,045
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.5%
80% range₹190-₹1,438
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)26%

HARSHA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HARSHA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HARSHA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HARSHA price target & forecast page.

HARSHA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HARSHA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

HARSHA MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HARSHA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.97%3.2×
Groww31.06%3.2×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money31.14%3.2×
Pocketful31.31%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.97%3.2×
Share India31.04%3.2×

Compare every broker on the HARSHA MTF page.

About Harsha Engineers International Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,882 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HARSHA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Harsha Engineers International Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HARSHA analysis, FAQs

Is Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Harsha Engineers International Ltd. (HARSHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 27.8× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HARSHA overvalued or undervalued?

HARSHA trades at 27.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HARSHA share price target for 2031?

HARSHA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹522, with an 80% range of ₹190-₹1,438 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HARSHA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HARSHA reaching ₹853 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for HARSHA?

Harsha Engineers International Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in HARSHA?

HARSHA's P/E of 27.8x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HARSHA's return on equity of 10.5% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on HARSHA