HARSHA
Harsha Engineers International
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HARSHA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) trades at ₹436,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 25.6× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HARSHA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HARSHA overvalued? HARSHA P/E vs its sector
HARSHA's P/E of 25.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.34% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HARSHA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HARSHA history (-16%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARSHA 2027 | ₹218 | ₹343 | ₹548 | -21% |
| HARSHA 2028 | ₹144 | ₹276 | ₹533 | -36% |
| HARSHA 2029 | ₹99 | ₹221 | ₹492 | -49% |
| HARSHA 2030 | ₹71 | ₹176 | ₹442 | -59% |
| HARSHA 2031 | ₹51 | ₹141 | ₹402 | -67% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HARSHA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HARSHA
- Harsha Engineers International is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹492.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹99.
HARSHA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HARSHA compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹218–₹548, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HARSHA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HARSHA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HARSHA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HARSHA price target & forecast page.
HARSHA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HARSHA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HARSHA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HARSHA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 35.0% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the HARSHA MTF page.
HARSHA vs peers,sector comparison
About Harsha Engineers International: sector, index & market-cap context
Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,977 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HARSHA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Harsha Engineers International's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HARSHA analysis, FAQs
Is Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Harsha Engineers International (HARSHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 25.6× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HARSHA overvalued or undervalued?
HARSHA trades at 25.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HARSHA share price target for 2031?
HARSHA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹141, with an 80% range of ₹51–₹402 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HARSHA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HARSHA reaching ₹862 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for HARSHA?
Harsha Engineers International is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in HARSHA?
At 25.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.