HATSUN
Hatsun Agro Product
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HATSUN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) trades at ₹919,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.
On the numbers, Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 58.6× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HATSUN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HATSUN overvalued? HATSUN P/E vs its sector
HATSUN's P/E of 58.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.09% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HATSUN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HATSUN history (-8%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HATSUN 2027 | ₹511 | ₹802 | ₹1,240 | -13% |
| HATSUN 2028 | ₹365 | ₹694 | ₹1,301 | -25% |
| HATSUN 2029 | ₹276 | ₹607 | ₹1,295 | -34% |
| HATSUN 2030 | ₹210 | ₹518 | ₹1,273 | -44% |
| HATSUN 2031 | ₹167 | ₹450 | ₹1,230 | -51% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HATSUN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HATSUN
- A healthy 16.7% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,295.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 58.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 11.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹276.
HATSUN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HATSUN compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹511–₹1,240, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HATSUN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HATSUN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HATSUN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HATSUN price target & forecast page.
HATSUN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HATSUN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HATSUN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HATSUN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the HATSUN MTF page.
HATSUN vs peers,sector comparison
About Hatsun Agro Product: sector, index & market-cap context
Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹20,406 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the HATSUN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hatsun Agro Product's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HATSUN analysis, FAQs
Is Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hatsun Agro Product (HATSUN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 58.6× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HATSUN overvalued or undervalued?
HATSUN trades at 58.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HATSUN share price target for 2031?
HATSUN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹450, with an 80% range of ₹167–₹1,230 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HATSUN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HATSUN reaching ₹1,842 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for HATSUN?
A healthy 16.7% return on equity.
What are the risks in HATSUN?
A rich 58.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 11.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.