Case study

HATSUN

Hatsun Agro Product Limited

Tread carefully1y model +5.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HATSUN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) trades at ₹941,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 60.2× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HATSUN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹20,963 Cr
Current price
₹941
P/E ratio
60.2×
P/B ratio
11.46×
Book value
₹82
Dividend yield
1.06%
ROCE
12.9%
ROE
16.7%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How HATSUN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HATSUN overvalued? HATSUN P/E vs peers

HATSUN trades at 60.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HATSUN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HATSUN history (14%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HATSUN 2027₹643₹996₹1,543+6%
HATSUN 2028₹571₹1,055₹1,949+12%
HATSUN 2029₹525₹1,117₹2,375+19%
HATSUN 2030₹492₹1,182₹2,841+26%
HATSUN 2031₹471₹1,252₹3,325+33%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HATSUN goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,882 within 5 years

The bull case for HATSUN

  • HATSUN's return on equity of 16.7% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,375.

The bear case & risks

  • HATSUN's P/E of 60.2x is lower than 21% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 11.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • HATSUN's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹525.

HATSUN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HATSUN compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹643-₹1,543, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HATSUN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.9%
80% range₹643-₹1,543
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹525-₹2,375
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.0%
80% range₹471-₹3,325
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)29%

HATSUN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HATSUN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HATSUN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HATSUN price target & forecast page.

HATSUN Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HATSUN scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

HATSUN MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HATSUN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.98%3.3×
Groww30.06%3.3×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money30.17%3.3×
Pocketful30.22%3.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.98%3.3×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India30.03%3.3×

Compare every broker on the HATSUN MTF page.

About Hatsun Agro Product Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹20,963 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HATSUN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hatsun Agro Product Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HATSUN analysis, FAQs

Is Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 60.2× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HATSUN overvalued or undervalued?

HATSUN trades at 60.2× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HATSUN share price target for 2031?

HATSUN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,252, with an 80% range of ₹471-₹3,325 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HATSUN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HATSUN reaching ₹1,882 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for HATSUN?

HATSUN's return on equity of 16.7% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HATSUN?

HATSUN's P/E of 60.2x is lower than 21% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. HATSUN's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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