HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HCC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) trades at ₹21,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.
On the numbers, Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing premium at 39.7× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HCC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HCC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HCC's market cap of 5,375 Cr ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's book value of ₹8 ranks in the 11th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's promoter holding of 16.2% ranks in the bottom 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 34.0% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's 3-year revenue growth of -22.0% ranks in the bottom 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HCC overvalued? HCC P/E vs peers
HCC trades at 39.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HCC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HCC history (-0%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCC 2027 | ₹10 | ₹20 | ₹40 | -2% |
| HCC 2028 | ₹8 | ₹20 | ₹51 | -4% |
| HCC 2029 | ₹6 | ₹19 | ₹62 | -5% |
| HCC 2030 | ₹5 | ₹19 | ₹73 | -7% |
| HCC 2031 | ₹4 | ₹19 | ₹83 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HCC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HCC
- HCC's return on capital employed of 24.8% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹62.
The bear case & risks
- HCC's P/E of 39.7x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HCC's return on equity of 11.9% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6.
HCC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HCC compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹10-₹40, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HCC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HCC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HCC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HCC price target & forecast page.
HCC Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HCC scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
HCC MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HCC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.66% | 2.6× |
| Zerodha | 38.74% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.86% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 38.74% | 2.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 54.41% | 1.8× |
| Pocketful | 39.31% | 2.5× |
| Anand Rathi | 38.74% | 2.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 42.00% | 2.4× |
| Share India | 38.82% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the HCC MTF page.
Which ace investors hold HCC?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
About Hindustan Construction Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,375 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HCC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Construction Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HCC analysis, FAQs
Is Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hindustan Construction Company Limited (HCC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing premium at 39.7× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HCC overvalued or undervalued?
HCC trades at 39.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HCC share price target for 2031?
HCC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹19, with an 80% range of ₹4-₹83 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HCC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HCC reaching ₹41 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for HCC?
HCC's return on capital employed of 24.8% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HCC?
HCC's P/E of 39.7x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HCC's return on equity of 11.9% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.