Case study

HCG

Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited

Tread carefully1y model +8.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HCG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) trades at ₹676,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 209.0× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HCG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,091 Cr
Current price
₹676
P/E ratio
209.0×
P/B ratio
7.58×
Book value
₹89
ROCE
8.3%
ROE
2.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How HCG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HCG overvalued? HCG P/E vs peers

HCG trades at 209.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HCG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HCG history (12%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HCG 2027₹490₹735₹1,102+9%
HCG 2028₹451₹799₹1,414+18%
HCG 2029₹425₹868₹1,773+28%
HCG 2030₹417₹944₹2,135+40%
HCG 2031₹412₹1,026₹2,555+52%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HCG goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
72%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
35%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,352 within 5 years

The bull case for HCG

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹735 (+9%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,773.

The bear case & risks

  • HCG's P/E of 209.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HCG's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HCG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹425.

HCG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HCG compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹490-₹1,102, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HCG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.7%
80% range₹490-₹1,102
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
28.4%
80% range₹425-₹1,773
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
51.8%
80% range₹412-₹2,555
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)35%

HCG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HCG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HCG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HCG price target & forecast page.

HCG Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HCG scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

HCG MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HCG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.90%3.3×
Groww30.05%3.3×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money30.43%3.3×
Pocketful30.35%3.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.90%3.3×
Bajaj Broking31.00%3.2×
Share India30.02%3.3×

Compare every broker on the HCG MTF page.

About Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,091 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HCG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HCG analysis, FAQs

Is Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 209.0× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HCG overvalued or undervalued?

HCG trades at 209.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HCG share price target for 2031?

HCG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,026, with an 80% range of ₹412-₹2,555 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HCG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HCG reaching ₹1,352 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.

What is the bull case for HCG?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹735 (+9%).

What are the risks in HCG?

HCG's P/E of 209.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HCG's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HCG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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