Case study

HDFCAMC

Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +6.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

62Score

Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HDFCAMC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) trades at ₹2,545,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 37.0× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HDFCAMC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.09L Cr
Current price
₹2,545
P/E ratio
37.0×
P/B ratio
11.84×
Book value
₹215
Dividend yield
2.12%
ROCE
42.9%
ROE
32.9%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How HDFCAMC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for HDFCAMC, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is HDFCAMC overvalued? HDFCAMC P/E vs peers

HDFCAMC trades at 37.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HDFCAMC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.8y of HDFCAMC history (13%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HDFCAMC 2027₹1,836₹2,700₹3,972+6%
HDFCAMC 2028₹1,678₹2,865₹4,891+13%
HDFCAMC 2029₹1,571₹3,040₹5,884+19%
HDFCAMC 2030₹1,493₹3,225₹6,966+27%
HDFCAMC 2031₹1,429₹3,422₹8,197+34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HDFCAMC goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹5,090 within 5 years

The bull case for HDFCAMC

  • HDFCAMC's return on equity of 32.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HDFCAMC's return on capital employed of 42.9% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HDFCAMC's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,884.

The bear case & risks

  • HDFCAMC's P/E of 37.0x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 11.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,571.

HDFCAMC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 7.8 years HDFCAMC compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,836-₹3,972, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HDFCAMC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 7.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹1,836-₹3,972
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.4%
80% range₹1,571-₹5,884
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.5%
80% range₹1,429-₹8,197
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)28%

HDFCAMC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HDFCAMC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HDFCAMC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HDFCAMC price target & forecast page.

HDFCAMC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HDFCAMC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

HDFCAMC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HDFCAMC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox27.01%3.7×
Zerodha26.00%3.8×
Groww26.06%3.8×
Dhan24.00%4.2×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST23.47%4.3×
Paytm Money23.80%4.2×
Pocketful30.80%3.2×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand Rathi30.48%3.3×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India30.58%3.3×

Compare every broker on the HDFCAMC MTF page.

About Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the AMC sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.09L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HDFCAMC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HDFCAMC analysis, FAQs

Is Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Hdfc Asset Management Company Limited (HDFCAMC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 37.0× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HDFCAMC overvalued or undervalued?

HDFCAMC trades at 37.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HDFCAMC share price target for 2031?

HDFCAMC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,422, with an 80% range of ₹1,429-₹8,197 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HDFCAMC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HDFCAMC reaching ₹5,090 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for HDFCAMC?

HDFCAMC's return on equity of 32.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HDFCAMC's return on capital employed of 42.9% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HDFCAMC's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HDFCAMC?

HDFCAMC's P/E of 37.0x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on HDFCAMC