HDFCGROWTH
HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH (HDFCGROWTH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HDFCGROWTH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH (HDFCGROWTH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HDFCGROWTH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.3y of HDFCGROWTH history (2%/yr drift, 14%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDFCGROWTH 2027 | ₹94 | ₹114 | ₹137 | +1% |
| HDFCGROWTH 2028 | ₹88 | ₹115 | ₹149 | +3% |
| HDFCGROWTH 2029 | ₹84 | ₹116 | ₹160 | +4% |
| HDFCGROWTH 2030 | ₹82 | ₹118 | ₹170 | +5% |
| HDFCGROWTH 2031 | ₹79 | ₹119 | ₹180 | +6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HDFCGROWTH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HDFCGROWTH
- Relatively low volatility (14%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹160.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹84.
HDFCGROWTH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.3 years HDFCGROWTH compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 14%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹94–₹137, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HDFCGROWTH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HDFCGROWTH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HDFCGROWTH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HDFCGROWTH price target & forecast page.
HDFCGROWTH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HDFCGROWTH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the HDFCGROWTH MTF page.
HDFCGROWTH vs peers,sector comparison
About HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH: sector, index & market-cap context
HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH (HDFCGROWTH) is an NSE-listed company.
How the HDFCGROWTH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HDFCGROWTH analysis, FAQs
Is HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH (HDFCGROWTH) a good buy?
On the numbers, HDFC AMC - HDFCGROWTH (HDFCGROWTH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HDFCGROWTH overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for HDFCGROWTH are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the HDFCGROWTH share price target for 2031?
HDFCGROWTH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹119, with an 80% range of ₹79–₹180 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HDFCGROWTH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HDFCGROWTH reaching ₹224 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for HDFCGROWTH?
Relatively low volatility (14%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in HDFCGROWTH?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.