Case study

HEG

Heg Limited

Tread carefully1y model +0.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Heg Limited (HEG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HEG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Heg Limited (HEG) trades at ₹674,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Heg Limited (HEG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.7× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HEG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹13,007 Cr
Current price
₹674
P/E ratio
36.7×
P/B ratio
2.73×
Book value
₹247
Dividend yield
0.50%
ROCE
8.3%
ROE
7.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How HEG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HEG overvalued? HEG P/E vs peers

HEG trades at 36.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HEG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HEG history (31%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HEG 2027₹376₹675₹1,211+0%
HEG 2028₹294₹676₹1,555+0%
HEG 2029₹246₹676₹1,857+0%
HEG 2030₹211₹677₹2,170+0%
HEG 2031₹187₹678₹2,457+1%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HEG goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,348 within 5 years

The bull case for HEG

  • Heg Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,857.

The bear case & risks

  • HEG's P/E of 36.7x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HEG's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹246.

HEG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HEG compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹376-₹1,211, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HEG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.1%
80% range₹376-₹1,211
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹246-₹1,857
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.6%
80% range₹187-₹2,457
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)24%

HEG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HEG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HEG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HEG price target & forecast page.

HEG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HEG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

HEG MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HEG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.03%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.00%2.9×
Groww35.18%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo35.09%2.8×
Paytm Money35.18%2.8×
Pocketful35.32%2.8×
Fyers35.71%2.8×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.00%2.9×
Bajaj Broking39.00%2.6×
Share India35.14%2.8×

Compare every broker on the HEG MTF page.

Which ace investors hold HEG?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Heg Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Heg Limited (HEG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,007 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HEG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Heg Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HEG analysis, FAQs

Is Heg Limited (HEG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Heg Limited (HEG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.7× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HEG overvalued or undervalued?

HEG trades at 36.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HEG share price target for 2031?

HEG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹678, with an 80% range of ₹187-₹2,457 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HEG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HEG reaching ₹1,348 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for HEG?

Heg Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in HEG?

HEG's P/E of 36.7x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HEG's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on HEG