HEG
HEG LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HEG LTD (HEG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HEG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HEG LTD (HEG) trades at ₹538,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, HEG LTD (HEG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 30.7× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HEG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HEG overvalued? HEG P/E vs its sector
HEG's P/E of 30.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.33% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HEG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HEG history (8%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEG 2027 | ₹295 | ₹527 | ₹931 | -1% |
| HEG 2028 | ₹229 | ₹518 | ₹1,175 | -3% |
| HEG 2029 | ₹189 | ₹512 | ₹1,378 | -4% |
| HEG 2030 | ₹160 | ₹505 | ₹1,604 | -5% |
| HEG 2031 | ₹138 | ₹499 | ₹1,794 | -6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HEG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HEG
- HEG LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,378.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹189.
HEG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HEG compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹295–₹931, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HEG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HEG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HEG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HEG price target & forecast page.
HEG Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HEG scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HEG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HEG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.4% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.4% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.4% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the HEG MTF page.
Which ace investors hold HEG?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
HEG vs peers,sector comparison
About HEG LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
HEG LTD (HEG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,377 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the HEG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HEG LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HEG analysis, FAQs
Is HEG LTD (HEG) a good buy?
On the numbers, HEG LTD (HEG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 30.7× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HEG overvalued or undervalued?
HEG trades at 30.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HEG share price target for 2031?
HEG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹499, with an 80% range of ₹138–₹1,794 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HEG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HEG reaching ₹1,064 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.
What is the bull case for HEG?
HEG LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in HEG?
At 30.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 7.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.