HEIDELBERG
Heidelbergcement India Limited.
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HEIDELBERG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) trades at ₹156,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 10.1%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HEIDELBERG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HEIDELBERG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HEIDELBERG's market cap of 3,541 Cr ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's book value of ₹61 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's promoter holding of 69.4% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 12.0% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's 3-year revenue growth of 1.0% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HEIDELBERG overvalued? HEIDELBERG P/E vs peers
HEIDELBERG trades at 29.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HEIDELBERG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HEIDELBERG history (2%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEIDELBERG 2027 | ₹120 | ₹163 | ₹223 | +5% |
| HEIDELBERG 2028 | ₹110 | ₹171 | ₹265 | +9% |
| HEIDELBERG 2029 | ₹104 | ₹179 | ₹306 | +14% |
| HEIDELBERG 2030 | ₹101 | ₹187 | ₹346 | +20% |
| HEIDELBERG 2031 | ₹98 | ₹195 | ₹389 | +25% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HEIDELBERG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HEIDELBERG
- HEIDELBERG's dividend yield of 4.5% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹306.
The bear case & risks
- HEIDELBERG's P/E of 29.1x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEIDELBERG's return on equity of 10.1% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹104.
HEIDELBERG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HEIDELBERG compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹120-₹223, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HEIDELBERG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HEIDELBERG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HEIDELBERG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HEIDELBERG price target & forecast page.
HEIDELBERG Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HEIDELBERG scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HEIDELBERG MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HEIDELBERG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.87% | 3.7× |
| Groww | 26.96% | 3.7× |
| Dhan | 26.87% | 3.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 27.09% | 3.7× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 26.87% | 3.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Share India | 26.96% | 3.7× |
Compare every broker on the HEIDELBERG MTF page.
About Heidelbergcement India Limited.: sector, index & market-cap context
Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,541 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HEIDELBERG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Heidelbergcement India Limited.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HEIDELBERG analysis, FAQs
Is Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) a good buy?
On the numbers, Heidelbergcement India Limited. (HEIDELBERG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 10.1%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HEIDELBERG overvalued or undervalued?
HEIDELBERG trades at 29.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HEIDELBERG share price target for 2031?
HEIDELBERG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹195, with an 80% range of ₹98-₹389 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HEIDELBERG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HEIDELBERG reaching ₹313 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.
What is the bull case for HEIDELBERG?
HEIDELBERG's dividend yield of 4.5% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in HEIDELBERG?
HEIDELBERG's P/E of 29.1x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HEIDELBERG's return on equity of 10.1% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.