HERITGFOOD
Heritage Foods
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HERITGFOOD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) trades at ₹329,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HERITGFOOD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HERITGFOOD overvalued? HERITGFOOD P/E vs its sector
HERITGFOOD's P/E of 21.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.76% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HERITGFOOD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HERITGFOOD history (-27%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HERITGFOOD 2027 | ₹150 | ₹237 | ₹380 | -28% |
| HERITGFOOD 2028 | ₹89 | ₹173 | ₹332 | -48% |
| HERITGFOOD 2029 | ₹56 | ₹124 | ₹276 | -62% |
| HERITGFOOD 2030 | ₹34 | ₹89 | ₹227 | -73% |
| HERITGFOOD 2031 | ₹23 | ₹64 | ₹181 | -80% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HERITGFOOD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HERITGFOOD
- A 21.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 13.7% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹276.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹56.
HERITGFOOD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HERITGFOOD compounded at -27%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹150–₹380, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HERITGFOOD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HERITGFOOD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HERITGFOOD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HERITGFOOD price target & forecast page.
HERITGFOOD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HERITGFOOD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HERITGFOOD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HERITGFOOD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.5% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.5% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the HERITGFOOD MTF page.
HERITGFOOD vs peers,sector comparison
About Heritage Foods: sector, index & market-cap context
Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,052 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HERITGFOOD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Heritage Foods's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HERITGFOOD analysis, FAQs
Is Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Heritage Foods (HERITGFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HERITGFOOD overvalued or undervalued?
HERITGFOOD trades at 21.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HERITGFOOD share price target for 2031?
HERITGFOOD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹64, with an 80% range of ₹23–₹181 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HERITGFOOD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HERITGFOOD reaching ₹660 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for HERITGFOOD?
A 21.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 13.7% return on equity.
What are the risks in HERITGFOOD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.