Case study

HERITGFOOD

Heritage Foods Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HERITGFOOD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) trades at ₹362,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HERITGFOOD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,367 Cr
Current price
₹362
P/E ratio
26.5×
P/B ratio
3.04×
Book value
₹119
Dividend yield
0.69%
ROCE
14.8%
ROE
12.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How HERITGFOOD ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is HERITGFOOD overvalued? HERITGFOOD P/E vs peers

HERITGFOOD trades at 26.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HERITGFOOD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HERITGFOOD history (9%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HERITGFOOD 2027₹241₹376₹584+4%
HERITGFOOD 2028₹209₹390₹727+8%
HERITGFOOD 2029₹187₹404₹877+12%
HERITGFOOD 2030₹171₹420₹1,029+16%
HERITGFOOD 2031₹163₹436₹1,166+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HERITGFOOD goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹724 within 5 years

The bull case for HERITGFOOD

  • HERITGFOOD's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹877.

The bear case & risks

  • HERITGFOOD's P/E of 26.5x is lower than 51% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹187.

HERITGFOOD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HERITGFOOD compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹241-₹584, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HERITGFOOD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.8%
80% range₹241-₹584
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.8%
80% range₹187-₹877
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.4%
80% range₹163-₹1,166
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)26%

HERITGFOOD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HERITGFOOD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HERITGFOOD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HERITGFOOD price target & forecast page.

HERITGFOOD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HERITGFOOD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

HERITGFOOD MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HERITGFOOD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha31.89%3.1×
Groww31.92%3.1×
Dhan31.89%3.1×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money31.92%3.1×
Pocketful32.13%3.1×
Anand Rathi31.89%3.1×
Bajaj Broking36.00%2.8×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST31.77%3.1×

Compare every broker on the HERITGFOOD MTF page.

About Heritage Foods Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,367 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HERITGFOOD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Heritage Foods Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HERITGFOOD analysis, FAQs

Is Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Heritage Foods Limited (HERITGFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HERITGFOOD overvalued or undervalued?

HERITGFOOD trades at 26.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HERITGFOOD share price target for 2031?

HERITGFOOD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹436, with an 80% range of ₹163-₹1,166 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HERITGFOOD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HERITGFOOD reaching ₹724 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for HERITGFOOD?

HERITGFOOD's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HERITGFOOD?

HERITGFOOD's P/E of 26.5x is lower than 51% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

More on HERITGFOOD