HEXT
HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HEXT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) trades at ₹499,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.
On the numbers, HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.8× earnings, ROE of 24.9%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HEXT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HEXT overvalued? HEXT P/E vs its sector
HEXT's P/E of 20.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.31% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
HEXT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.3y of HEXT history (-33%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEXT 2027 | ₹201 | ₹334 | ₹555 | -33% |
| HEXT 2028 | ₹109 | ₹223 | ₹458 | -55% |
| HEXT 2029 | ₹63 | ₹150 | ₹357 | -70% |
| HEXT 2030 | ₹37 | ₹101 | ₹277 | -80% |
| HEXT 2031 | ₹22 | ₹67 | ₹209 | -87% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HEXT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HEXT
- A 20.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (24.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 2.3% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹357.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹63.
HEXT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.3 years HEXT compounded at -33%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹201–₹555, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HEXT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HEXT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HEXT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HEXT price target & forecast page.
HEXT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HEXT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HEXT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HEXT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.9% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.9% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.9% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the HEXT MTF page.
HEXT vs peers,sector comparison
About HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,471 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the HEXT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HEXT analysis, FAQs
Is HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) a good buy?
On the numbers, HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD (HEXT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.8× earnings, ROE of 24.9%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HEXT overvalued or undervalued?
HEXT trades at 20.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HEXT share price target for 2031?
HEXT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹67, with an 80% range of ₹22–₹209 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HEXT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HEXT reaching ₹999 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for HEXT?
A 20.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (24.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in HEXT?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.