HGINFRA
H.G. Infra Engineering
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HGINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) trades at ₹584,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.8× earnings, ROE of 9.6%, a 4% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HGINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HGINFRA overvalued? HGINFRA P/E vs its sector
HGINFRA's P/E of 12.8× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.34% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HGINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HGINFRA history (-58%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HGINFRA 2027 | ₹185 | ₹303 | ₹492 | -48% |
| HGINFRA 2028 | ₹78 | ₹157 | ₹315 | -73% |
| HGINFRA 2029 | ₹34 | ₹82 | ₹195 | -86% |
| HGINFRA 2030 | ₹16 | ₹43 | ₹115 | -93% |
| HGINFRA 2031 | ₹7 | ₹22 | ₹67 | -96% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HGINFRA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HGINFRA
- Trades at just 12.8× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.17×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹195.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 9.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 4% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹34.
HGINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HGINFRA compounded at -58%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹185–₹492, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HGINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HGINFRA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HGINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HGINFRA price target & forecast page.
HGINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HGINFRA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HGINFRA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HGINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the HGINFRA MTF page.
HGINFRA vs peers,sector comparison
About H.G. Infra Engineering: sector, index & market-cap context
H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,809 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HGINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of H.G. Infra Engineering's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HGINFRA analysis, FAQs
Is H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) a good buy?
On the numbers, H.G. Infra Engineering (HGINFRA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.8× earnings, ROE of 9.6%, a 4% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HGINFRA overvalued or undervalued?
HGINFRA trades at 12.8× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the HGINFRA share price target for 2031?
HGINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹22, with an 80% range of ₹7–₹67 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HGINFRA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HGINFRA reaching ₹1,166 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for HGINFRA?
Trades at just 12.8× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.17×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in HGINFRA?
Return on equity is a soft 9.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 4% chance of finishing above today's price.