HINDPETRO
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HINDPETRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) trades at ₹393,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.
On the numbers, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 50.0× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HINDPETRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HINDPETRO ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- HINDPETRO's market cap of 83,634 Cr ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's book value of ₹308 ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's promoter holding of 54.9% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 66.0% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85x is lower than 19% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for HINDPETRO, as of 8 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is HINDPETRO overvalued? HINDPETRO P/E vs peers
HINDPETRO trades at 50.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HINDPETRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HINDPETRO history (7%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDPETRO 2027 | ₹256 | ₹399 | ₹620 | +1% |
| HINDPETRO 2028 | ₹217 | ₹404 | ₹754 | +3% |
| HINDPETRO 2029 | ₹190 | ₹410 | ₹884 | +4% |
| HINDPETRO 2030 | ₹170 | ₹416 | ₹1,017 | +6% |
| HINDPETRO 2031 | ₹155 | ₹422 | ₹1,146 | +7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HINDPETRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HINDPETRO
- Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- HINDPETRO's return on equity of 30.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- HINDPETRO's dividend yield of 6.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹884.
The bear case & risks
- HINDPETRO's P/E of 50.0x is lower than 27% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹190.
HINDPETRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HINDPETRO compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹256-₹620, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HINDPETRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HINDPETRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HINDPETRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDPETRO price target & forecast page.
HINDPETRO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HINDPETRO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
HINDPETRO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDPETRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.69% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 27.40% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.51% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.15% | 4.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.19% | 4.0× |
| Paytm Money | 25.72% | 3.9× |
| Pocketful | 32.49% | 3.1× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.15% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 26.00% | 3.8× |
| Share India | 32.30% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the HINDPETRO MTF page.
About Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹83,634 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HINDPETRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HINDPETRO analysis, FAQs
Is Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 50.0× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HINDPETRO overvalued or undervalued?
HINDPETRO trades at 50.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HINDPETRO share price target for 2031?
HINDPETRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹422, with an 80% range of ₹155-₹1,146 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HINDPETRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HINDPETRO reaching ₹786 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.
What is the bull case for HINDPETRO?
Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. HINDPETRO's return on equity of 30.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. HINDPETRO's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HINDPETRO?
HINDPETRO's P/E of 50.0x is lower than 27% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.