HINDPETRO
Hindustan Petroleum Corp
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HINDPETRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) trades at ₹393,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100.
On the numbers, Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.6× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HINDPETRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HINDPETRO overvalued? HINDPETRO P/E vs its sector
HINDPETRO's P/E of 4.6× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.67% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
HINDPETRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HINDPETRO history (8%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDPETRO 2027 | ₹257 | ₹398 | ₹619 | +1% |
| HINDPETRO 2028 | ₹216 | ₹404 | ₹752 | +3% |
| HINDPETRO 2029 | ₹190 | ₹410 | ₹882 | +5% |
| HINDPETRO 2030 | ₹170 | ₹416 | ₹1,031 | +6% |
| HINDPETRO 2031 | ₹160 | ₹427 | ₹1,170 | +9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HINDPETRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HINDPETRO
- Trades at just 4.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- High return on equity (30.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (22.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 2.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹882.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹190.
HINDPETRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HINDPETRO compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹257–₹619, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HINDPETRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HINDPETRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HINDPETRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDPETRO price target & forecast page.
HINDPETRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HINDPETRO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HINDPETRO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDPETRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.6% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.8% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.6% | 3.9× |
Compare every broker on the HINDPETRO MTF page.
HINDPETRO vs peers,sector comparison
About Hindustan Petroleum Corp: sector, index & market-cap context
Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹83,687 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the HINDPETRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Petroleum Corp's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HINDPETRO analysis, FAQs
Is Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HINDPETRO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.6× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HINDPETRO overvalued or undervalued?
HINDPETRO trades at 4.6× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the HINDPETRO share price target for 2031?
HINDPETRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹427, with an 80% range of ₹160–₹1,170 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HINDPETRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HINDPETRO reaching ₹784 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.
What is the bull case for HINDPETRO?
Trades at just 4.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (30.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in HINDPETRO?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.