HIRECT
HIND RECTIFIERS
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HIRECT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) trades at ₹1,146,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 98.6× earnings, ROE of 21.7%, a 79% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HIRECT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HIRECT overvalued? HIRECT P/E vs its sector
HIRECT's P/E of 98.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.09% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HIRECT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HIRECT history (63%/yr drift, 57%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIRECT 2027 | ₹885 | ₹1,820 | ₹3,845 | +58% |
| HIRECT 2028 | ₹1,053 | ₹2,932 | ₹8,323 | +154% |
| HIRECT 2029 | ₹1,319 | ₹4,730 | ₹16,956 | +310% |
| HIRECT 2030 | ₹1,694 | ₹7,541 | ₹32,543 | +554% |
| HIRECT 2031 | ₹2,336 | ₹11,931 | ₹61,079 | +935% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HIRECT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HIRECT
- High return on equity (21.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 79% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,820 (+58%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹16,956.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 98.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 18.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,319.
HIRECT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HIRECT compounded at 63%/year with annualized volatility of 57%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹885–₹3,845, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HIRECT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HIRECT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HIRECT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HIRECT price target & forecast page.
HIRECT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HIRECT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HIRECT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HIRECT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 42.0% | 2.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 42.0% | 2.4× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the HIRECT MTF page.
HIRECT vs peers,sector comparison
About HIND RECTIFIERS: sector, index & market-cap context
HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,946 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HIRECT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HIND RECTIFIERS's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HIRECT analysis, FAQs
Is HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) a good buy?
On the numbers, HIND RECTIFIERS (HIRECT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 98.6× earnings, ROE of 21.7%, a 79% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HIRECT overvalued or undervalued?
HIRECT trades at 98.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HIRECT share price target for 2031?
HIRECT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹11,931, with an 80% range of ₹2,336–₹61,079 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HIRECT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HIRECT reaching ₹2,305 (2×) within 5 years is 90%.
What is the bull case for HIRECT?
High return on equity (21.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 79% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,820 (+58%).
What are the risks in HIRECT?
A rich 98.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 18.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.