HMAAGRO
HMAAGRO
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HMAAGRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) trades at ₹22,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.
On the numbers, HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.7× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HMAAGRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HMAAGRO overvalued? HMAAGRO P/E vs its sector
HMAAGRO's P/E of 6.7× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 1.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
HMAAGRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HMAAGRO history (-47%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMAAGRO 2027 | ₹8 | ₹13 | ₹21 | -41% |
| HMAAGRO 2028 | ₹4 | ₹8 | ₹15 | -65% |
| HMAAGRO 2029 | ₹2 | ₹5 | ₹10 | -80% |
| HMAAGRO 2030 | ₹1 | ₹3 | ₹7 | -88% |
| HMAAGRO 2031 | ₹1 | ₹2 | ₹4 | -93% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HMAAGRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HMAAGRO
- Trades at just 6.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.17×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- High return on equity (19.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.
HMAAGRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HMAAGRO compounded at -47%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹8–₹21, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HMAAGRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HMAAGRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HMAAGRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HMAAGRO price target & forecast page.
HMAAGRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HMAAGRO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HMAAGRO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HMAAGRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the HMAAGRO MTF page.
HMAAGRO vs peers,sector comparison
About HMAAGRO: sector, index & market-cap context
HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,103 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HMAAGRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HMAAGRO's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HMAAGRO analysis, FAQs
Is HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, HMAAGRO (HMAAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.7× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HMAAGRO overvalued or undervalued?
HMAAGRO trades at 6.7× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the HMAAGRO share price target for 2031?
HMAAGRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹4 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HMAAGRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HMAAGRO reaching ₹45 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for HMAAGRO?
Trades at just 6.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.17×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (19.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in HMAAGRO?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.