Case study

HNDFDS

HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +11.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HNDFDS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) trades at ₹576,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 43.2× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HNDFDS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,981 Cr
Current price
₹576
P/E ratio
43.2×
P/B ratio
5.91×
Book value
₹98
ROCE
14.2%
ROE
14.8%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How HNDFDS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HNDFDS overvalued? HNDFDS P/E vs peers

HNDFDS trades at 43.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HNDFDS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HNDFDS history (33%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HNDFDS 2027₹446₹643₹929+12%
HNDFDS 2028₹426₹719₹1,215+25%
HNDFDS 2029₹424₹804₹1,526+40%
HNDFDS 2030₹427₹899₹1,892+56%
HNDFDS 2031₹446₹1,005₹2,261+75%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HNDFDS goes up, or doubles?

65%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
81%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
42%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,151 within 5 years

The bull case for HNDFDS

  • HNDFDS's return on equity of 14.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹643 (+12%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,526.

The bear case & risks

  • HNDFDS's P/E of 43.2x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹424.

HNDFDS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HNDFDS compounded at 33%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹446-₹929, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HNDFDS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.8%
80% range₹446-₹929
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
39.7%
80% range₹424-₹1,526
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
74.6%
80% range₹446-₹2,261
P(price ↑)81%
P(price 2×)42%

HNDFDS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HNDFDS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HNDFDS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HNDFDS price target & forecast page.

HNDFDS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HNDFDS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

HNDFDS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HNDFDS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.62%3.5×
Groww28.70%3.5×
Dhan28.62%3.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money29.00%3.4×
Pocketful28.89%3.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST28.62%3.5×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India28.70%3.5×

Compare every broker on the HNDFDS MTF page.

About HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,981 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HNDFDS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HNDFDS analysis, FAQs

Is HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) a good buy?

On the numbers, HINDUSTAN FOODS LIMITED (HNDFDS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 43.2× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HNDFDS overvalued or undervalued?

HNDFDS trades at 43.2× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HNDFDS share price target for 2031?

HNDFDS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,005, with an 80% range of ₹446-₹2,261 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HNDFDS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HNDFDS reaching ₹1,151 (2×) within 5 years is 42%.

What is the bull case for HNDFDS?

HNDFDS's return on equity of 14.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹643 (+12%).

What are the risks in HNDFDS?

HNDFDS's P/E of 43.2x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on HNDFDS