HONASA
HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HONASA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) trades at ₹416,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 66.5× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HONASA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HONASA overvalued? HONASA P/E vs its sector
HONASA's P/E of 66.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
HONASA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HONASA history (-4%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HONASA 2027 | ₹210 | ₹363 | ₹636 | -13% |
| HONASA 2028 | ₹144 | ₹317 | ₹686 | -24% |
| HONASA 2029 | ₹106 | ₹278 | ₹724 | -33% |
| HONASA 2030 | ₹80 | ₹243 | ₹730 | -42% |
| HONASA 2031 | ₹61 | ₹212 | ₹735 | -49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HONASA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HONASA
- A healthy 15.7% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (19.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹724.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 66.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹106.
HONASA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HONASA compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹210–₹636, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HONASA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HONASA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HONASA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HONASA price target & forecast page.
HONASA Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HONASA scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
HONASA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HONASA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.8% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.8% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.8% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the HONASA MTF page.
HONASA vs peers,sector comparison
About HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,550 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the HONASA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HONASA analysis, FAQs
Is HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) a good buy?
On the numbers, HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 66.5× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HONASA overvalued or undervalued?
HONASA trades at 66.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HONASA share price target for 2031?
HONASA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹212, with an 80% range of ₹61–₹735 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HONASA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HONASA reaching ₹835 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for HONASA?
A healthy 15.7% return on equity. Strong ROCE (19.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in HONASA?
A rich 66.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.