Case study

HONASA

HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HONASA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) trades at ₹478,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 76.5× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HONASA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹15,571 Cr
Current price
₹478
P/E ratio
76.5×
P/B ratio
11.01×
Book value
₹43
ROCE
19.2%
ROE
15.7%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How HONASA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HONASA overvalued? HONASA P/E vs peers

HONASA trades at 76.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HONASA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.7y of HONASA history (13%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HONASA 2027₹284₹489₹841+2%
HONASA 2028₹234₹500₹1,067+5%
HONASA 2029₹201₹511₹1,300+7%
HONASA 2030₹173₹523₹1,581+9%
HONASA 2031₹157₹535₹1,827+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HONASA goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹955 within 5 years

The bull case for HONASA

  • HONASA's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HONASA's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,300.

The bear case & risks

  • HONASA's P/E of 76.5x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 11.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹201.

HONASA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.7 years HONASA compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹284-₹841, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HONASA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹284-₹841
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹201-₹1,300
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.0%
80% range₹157-₹1,827
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)27%

HONASA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HONASA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HONASA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HONASA price target & forecast page.

HONASA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HONASA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

HONASA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HONASA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST32.10%3.1×
Zerodha32.11%3.1×
Groww32.21%3.1×
Dhan32.11%3.1×
Kotak Neo32.15%3.1×
Paytm Money32.39%3.1×
Pocketful32.56%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.11%3.1×
Bajaj Broking38.00%2.6×
Share India32.20%3.1×

Compare every broker on the HONASA MTF page.

About HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,571 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HONASA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HONASA analysis, FAQs

Is HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) a good buy?

On the numbers, HONASA CONSUMER LIMITED (HONASA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 76.5× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HONASA overvalued or undervalued?

HONASA trades at 76.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HONASA share price target for 2031?

HONASA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹535, with an 80% range of ₹157-₹1,827 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HONASA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HONASA reaching ₹955 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for HONASA?

HONASA's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HONASA's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HONASA?

HONASA's P/E of 76.5x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

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