HPAL
HPAL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HPAL (HPAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HPAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HPAL (HPAL) trades at ₹34,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, HPAL (HPAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 41.4× earnings, ROE of 4.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HPAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HPAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HPAL's market cap of 314 Cr ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's book value of ₹20 ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's promoter holding of 71.4% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -30.0% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's 3-year revenue growth of -30.0% ranks in the bottom 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02x is lower than 94% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HPAL overvalued? HPAL P/E vs peers
HPAL trades at 41.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HPAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.5y of HPAL history (-15%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPAL 2027 | ₹21 | ₹35 | ₹58 | +1% |
| HPAL 2028 | ₹17 | ₹35 | ₹72 | +2% |
| HPAL 2029 | ₹14 | ₹35 | ₹86 | +3% |
| HPAL 2030 | ₹13 | ₹36 | ₹100 | +4% |
| HPAL 2031 | ₹12 | ₹36 | ₹112 | +5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HPAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HPAL
- HPAL is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹86.
The bear case & risks
- HPAL's P/E of 41.4x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPAL's return on equity of 4.1% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹14.
HPAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.5 years HPAL compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹21-₹58, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HPAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HPAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HPAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HPAL price target & forecast page.
HPAL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HPAL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
HPAL MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HPAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 60.00% | 1.7× |
Compare every broker on the HPAL MTF page.
About HPAL: sector, index & market-cap context
HPAL (HPAL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹314 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HPAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HPAL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HPAL analysis, FAQs
Is HPAL (HPAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, HPAL (HPAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 41.4× earnings, ROE of 4.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HPAL overvalued or undervalued?
HPAL trades at 41.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HPAL share price target for 2031?
HPAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹36, with an 80% range of ₹12-₹112 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HPAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HPAL reaching ₹68 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for HPAL?
HPAL is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in HPAL?
HPAL's P/E of 41.4x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HPAL's return on equity of 4.1% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.