HPL
Hpl Electric & Power Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) trades at ₹342,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.2× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HPL's market cap of 2,200 Cr ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPL's book value of ₹156 ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPL's promoter holding of 72.7% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 47.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPL's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HPL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.76x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HPL overvalued? HPL P/E vs peers
HPL trades at 23.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.7y of HPL history (6%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPL 2027 | ₹184 | ₹345 | ₹647 | +1% |
| HPL 2028 | ₹143 | ₹349 | ₹848 | +2% |
| HPL 2029 | ₹118 | ₹352 | ₹1,049 | +3% |
| HPL 2030 | ₹96 | ₹355 | ₹1,314 | +4% |
| HPL 2031 | ₹86 | ₹359 | ₹1,499 | +5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HPL
- HPL's P/E of 23.2x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,049.
The bear case & risks
- HPL's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹118.
HPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.7 years HPL compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹184-₹647, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HPL price target & forecast page.
HPL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HPL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HPL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 38.15% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.10% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.10% | 2.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 38.53% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 38.87% | 2.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 38.10% | 2.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 38.24% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the HPL MTF page.
About Hpl Electric & Power Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,200 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hpl Electric & Power Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HPL analysis, FAQs
Is Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hpl Electric & Power Limited (HPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.2× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HPL overvalued or undervalued?
HPL trades at 23.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HPL share price target for 2031?
HPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹359, with an 80% range of ₹86-₹1,499 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HPL reaching ₹684 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for HPL?
HPL's P/E of 23.2x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HPL?
HPL's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.