HSCL
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HSCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) trades at ₹753,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 47.5× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HSCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HSCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HSCL's market cap of 37,976 Cr ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's book value of ₹93 ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's promoter holding of 52.5% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 47.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's 3-year revenue growth of 4.0% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16x is lower than 68% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HSCL overvalued? HSCL P/E vs peers
HSCL trades at 47.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
HSCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HSCL history (30%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSCL 2027 | ₹482 | ₹793 | ₹1,304 | +5% |
| HSCL 2028 | ₹417 | ₹836 | ₹1,673 | +11% |
| HSCL 2029 | ₹370 | ₹880 | ₹2,097 | +17% |
| HSCL 2030 | ₹345 | ₹928 | ₹2,493 | +23% |
| HSCL 2031 | ₹325 | ₹978 | ₹2,938 | +30% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HSCL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HSCL
- HSCL's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HSCL's return on capital employed of 22.1% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,097.
The bear case & risks
- HSCL's P/E of 47.5x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 8.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹370.
HSCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HSCL compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹482-₹1,304, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HSCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HSCL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HSCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HSCL price target & forecast page.
HSCL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HSCL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HSCL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HSCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 33.19% | 3.0× |
| Zerodha | 33.15% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 33.34% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 33.15% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 33.40% | 3.0× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 33.12% | 3.0× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 33.15% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 36.00% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 33.30% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the HSCL MTF page.
About Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹37,976 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HSCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HSCL analysis, FAQs
Is Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 47.5× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HSCL overvalued or undervalued?
HSCL trades at 47.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the HSCL share price target for 2031?
HSCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹978, with an 80% range of ₹325-₹2,938 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HSCL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HSCL reaching ₹1,505 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for HSCL?
HSCL's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HSCL's return on capital employed of 22.1% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HSCL?
HSCL's P/E of 47.5x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.