Case study

HUBTOWN

HUBTOWN

Tread carefully1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HUBTOWN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) trades at ₹201,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HUBTOWN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,862 Cr
Current price
₹201
P/E ratio
19.3×
P/B ratio
1.09×
Book value
₹185
ROCE
9.5%
ROE
5.9%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is HUBTOWN overvalued? HUBTOWN P/E vs its sector

HUBTOWN's P/E of 19.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

HUBTOWN P/E
19.3×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

HUBTOWN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HUBTOWN history (15%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HUBTOWN 2027₹103₹199₹391+2%
HUBTOWN 2028₹79₹201₹519+3%
HUBTOWN 2029₹65₹208₹656+6%
HUBTOWN 2030₹55₹212₹806+9%
HUBTOWN 2031₹49₹217₹944+11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HUBTOWN goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹390 within 5 years

The bull case for HUBTOWN

  • A 19.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.09×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹656.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹65.

HUBTOWN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years HUBTOWN compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹103₹391, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HUBTOWN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹103–₹391
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.5%
80% range₹65–₹656
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹49–₹944
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)30%

HUBTOWN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HUBTOWN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HUBTOWN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HUBTOWN price target & forecast page.

HUBTOWN Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HUBTOWN scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

HUBTOWN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HUBTOWN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST39.1%2.6×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.1%2.6×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the HUBTOWN MTF page.

HUBTOWN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
HUBTOWN (this stock)19.3×₹2,862 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About HUBTOWN: sector, index & market-cap context

HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,862 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the HUBTOWN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HUBTOWN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HUBTOWN analysis, FAQs

Is HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) a good buy?

On the numbers, HUBTOWN (HUBTOWN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HUBTOWN overvalued or undervalued?

HUBTOWN trades at 19.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the HUBTOWN share price target for 2031?

HUBTOWN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹217, with an 80% range of ₹49₹944 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HUBTOWN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HUBTOWN reaching ₹390 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for HUBTOWN?

A 19.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 1.09×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in HUBTOWN?

Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on HUBTOWN