HUDCO
HUDCO
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HUDCO (HUDCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HUDCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HUDCO (HUDCO) trades at ₹211,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100.
On the numbers, HUDCO (HUDCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.5× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HUDCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HUDCO overvalued? HUDCO P/E vs its sector
HUDCO's P/E of 10.5× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.15% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
HUDCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HUDCO history (-14%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUDCO 2027 | ₹101 | ₹167 | ₹278 | -20% |
| HUDCO 2028 | ₹65 | ₹134 | ₹273 | -36% |
| HUDCO 2029 | ₹44 | ₹108 | ₹263 | -48% |
| HUDCO 2030 | ₹31 | ₹86 | ₹238 | -59% |
| HUDCO 2031 | ₹22 | ₹70 | ₹213 | -67% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HUDCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HUDCO
- Trades at just 10.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- High return on equity (20.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Pays a 2.1% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹263.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹44.
HUDCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HUDCO compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹101–₹278, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HUDCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HUDCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HUDCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HUDCO price target & forecast page.
HUDCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HUDCO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HUDCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HUDCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the HUDCO MTF page.
HUDCO vs peers,sector comparison
About HUDCO: sector, index & market-cap context
HUDCO (HUDCO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,290 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the HUDCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HUDCO's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HUDCO analysis, FAQs
Is HUDCO (HUDCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, HUDCO (HUDCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.5× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HUDCO overvalued or undervalued?
HUDCO trades at 10.5× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the HUDCO share price target for 2031?
HUDCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹70, with an 80% range of ₹22–₹213 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HUDCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HUDCO reaching ₹417 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for HUDCO?
Trades at just 10.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. High return on equity (20.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Pays a 2.1% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in HUDCO?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.