Case study

HUHTAMAKI

Huhtamaki India

Mixed signals1y model -35.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HUHTAMAKI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) trades at ₹194,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.4× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HUHTAMAKI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,469 Cr
Current price
₹194
P/E ratio
17.4×
P/B ratio
2.08×
Book value
₹93
Dividend yield
1.03%
ROCE
17.6%
ROE
13.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is HUHTAMAKI overvalued? HUHTAMAKI P/E vs its sector

HUHTAMAKI's P/E of 17.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.03% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

HUHTAMAKI P/E
17.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
HUHTAMAKI div yield
1.03%
Peer median yield
1.65%

HUHTAMAKI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HUHTAMAKI history (-37%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HUHTAMAKI 2027₹73₹119₹197-36%
HUHTAMAKI 2028₹38₹77₹155-58%
HUHTAMAKI 2029₹21₹49₹118-73%
HUHTAMAKI 2030₹12₹31₹87-83%
HUHTAMAKI 2031₹7₹20₹63-89%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HUHTAMAKI goes up, or doubles?

13%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹372 within 5 years

The bull case for HUHTAMAKI

  • A 17.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 13.0% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹118.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.

HUHTAMAKI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years HUHTAMAKI compounded at -37%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹73₹197, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HUHTAMAKI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
35.8%
80% range₹73–₹197
P(price ↑)13%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
73.5%
80% range₹21–₹118
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
89.1%
80% range₹7–₹63
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

HUHTAMAKI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HUHTAMAKI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HUHTAMAKI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HUHTAMAKI price target & forecast page.

HUHTAMAKI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HUHTAMAKI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

HUHTAMAKI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HUHTAMAKI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the HUHTAMAKI MTF page.

HUHTAMAKI vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
HUHTAMAKI (this stock)17.4×1.03%₹1,469 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Huhtamaki India: sector, index & market-cap context

Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,469 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the HUHTAMAKI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Huhtamaki India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HUHTAMAKI analysis, FAQs

Is Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Huhtamaki India (HUHTAMAKI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.4× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HUHTAMAKI overvalued or undervalued?

HUHTAMAKI trades at 17.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the HUHTAMAKI share price target for 2031?

HUHTAMAKI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹20, with an 80% range of ₹7₹63 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HUHTAMAKI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HUHTAMAKI reaching ₹372 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for HUHTAMAKI?

A 17.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 13.0% return on equity.

What are the risks in HUHTAMAKI?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on HUHTAMAKI