ICICIAMC
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ICICIAMC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) trades at ₹3,417,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 57.2× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 91% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ICICIAMC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ICICIAMC overvalued? ICICIAMC P/E vs its sector
ICICIAMC's P/E of 57.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.80% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
ICICIAMC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.5y of ICICIAMC history (58%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICIAMC 2027 | ₹3,556 | ₹5,734 | ₹9,132 | +67% |
| ICICIAMC 2028 | ₹4,926 | ₹9,589 | ₹18,616 | +180% |
| ICICIAMC 2029 | ₹7,023 | ₹16,084 | ₹36,613 | +369% |
| ICICIAMC 2030 | ₹10,395 | ₹27,025 | ₹68,426 | +688% |
| ICICIAMC 2031 | ₹15,537 | ₹44,788 | ₹1,27,297 | +1206% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ICICIAMC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ICICIAMC
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 91% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹5,734 (+67%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹36,613.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 57.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 4271.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7,023.
ICICIAMC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.5 years ICICIAMC compounded at 58%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,556–₹9,132, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ICICIAMC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ICICIAMC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ICICIAMC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ICICIAMC price target & forecast page.
ICICIAMC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ICICIAMC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
ICICIAMC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ICICIAMC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 27.4% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the ICICIAMC MTF page.
ICICIAMC vs peers,sector comparison
About ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.68L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the ICICIAMC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ICICIAMC analysis, FAQs
Is ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) a good buy?
On the numbers, ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD (ICICIAMC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 57.2× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 91% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ICICIAMC overvalued or undervalued?
ICICIAMC trades at 57.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ICICIAMC share price target for 2031?
ICICIAMC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹44,788, with an 80% range of ₹15,537–₹1,27,297 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ICICIAMC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ICICIAMC reaching ₹6,858 (2×) within 5 years is 99%.
What is the bull case for ICICIAMC?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 91% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹5,734 (+67%).
What are the risks in ICICIAMC?
A rich 57.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 4271.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.