IFGLEXPOR
Ifgl Refractories Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IFGLEXPOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) trades at ₹227,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.
On the numbers, Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 38.2× earnings, ROE of 3.2%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IFGLEXPOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How IFGLEXPOR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- IFGLEXPOR's market cap of 1,637 Cr ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's book value of ₹163 ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's promoter holding of 72.4% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -23.0% ranks in the 10th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's 3-year revenue growth of 11.0% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18x is lower than 65% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is IFGLEXPOR overvalued? IFGLEXPOR P/E vs peers
IFGLEXPOR trades at 38.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
IFGLEXPOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of IFGLEXPOR history (13%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFGLEXPOR 2027 | ₹119 | ₹222 | ₹415 | -2% |
| IFGLEXPOR 2028 | ₹89 | ₹217 | ₹532 | -4% |
| IFGLEXPOR 2029 | ₹72 | ₹212 | ₹630 | -6% |
| IFGLEXPOR 2030 | ₹59 | ₹208 | ₹731 | -9% |
| IFGLEXPOR 2031 | ₹50 | ₹203 | ₹832 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IFGLEXPOR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IFGLEXPOR
- Low price-to-book of 1.39×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹630.
The bear case & risks
- IFGLEXPOR's P/E of 38.2x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFGLEXPOR's return on equity of 3.2% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.
IFGLEXPOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years IFGLEXPOR compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹119-₹415, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IFGLEXPOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IFGLEXPOR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IFGLEXPOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IFGLEXPOR price target & forecast page.
IFGLEXPOR Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IFGLEXPOR scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
IFGLEXPOR MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IFGLEXPOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 39.63% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 39.49% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 39.57% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the IFGLEXPOR MTF page.
About Ifgl Refractories Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,637 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the IFGLEXPOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ifgl Refractories Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IFGLEXPOR analysis, FAQs
Is Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ifgl Refractories Limited (IFGLEXPOR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 38.2× earnings, ROE of 3.2%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IFGLEXPOR overvalued or undervalued?
IFGLEXPOR trades at 38.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the IFGLEXPOR share price target for 2031?
IFGLEXPOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹203, with an 80% range of ₹50-₹832 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IFGLEXPOR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IFGLEXPOR reaching ₹454 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for IFGLEXPOR?
Low price-to-book of 1.39×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in IFGLEXPOR?
IFGLEXPOR's P/E of 38.2x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IFGLEXPOR's return on equity of 3.2% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.