Case study

IGARASHI

Igarashi Motors India Limited

Mixed signals1y model -1.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IGARASHI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) trades at ₹465,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 0.3× earnings, ROE of -6.7%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IGARASHI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,464 Cr
Current price
₹465
P/E ratio
0.3×
P/B ratio
1660.71×
Book value
₹0
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
-6.7%
ROE
-6.7%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How IGARASHI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IGARASHI overvalued? IGARASHI P/E vs peers

IGARASHI trades at 0.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

IGARASHI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of IGARASHI history (-3%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IGARASHI 2027₹245₹458₹855-2%
IGARASHI 2028₹186₹451₹1,096-3%
IGARASHI 2029₹150₹444₹1,317-5%
IGARASHI 2030₹125₹437₹1,534-6%
IGARASHI 2031₹105₹430₹1,761-7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IGARASHI goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹930 within 5 years

The bull case for IGARASHI

  • IGARASHI's P/E of 0.3x is lower than 97% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,317.

The bear case & risks

  • A steep 1660.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • IGARASHI's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹150.

IGARASHI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years IGARASHI compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹245-₹855, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IGARASHI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹245-₹855
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹150-₹1,317
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.5%
80% range₹105-₹1,761
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)24%

IGARASHI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IGARASHI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IGARASHI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IGARASHI price target & forecast page.

IGARASHI Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IGARASHI scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

IGARASHI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IGARASHI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha37.55%2.7×
Groww37.40%2.7×
Dhan37.55%2.7×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money37.42%2.7×
Pocketful37.68%2.7×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi37.55%2.7×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.26%2.7×

Compare every broker on the IGARASHI MTF page.

About Igarashi Motors India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,464 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IGARASHI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Igarashi Motors India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IGARASHI analysis, FAQs

Is Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Igarashi Motors India Limited (IGARASHI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 0.3× earnings, ROE of -6.7%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IGARASHI overvalued or undervalued?

IGARASHI trades at 0.3× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the IGARASHI share price target for 2031?

IGARASHI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹430, with an 80% range of ₹105-₹1,761 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IGARASHI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IGARASHI reaching ₹930 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for IGARASHI?

IGARASHI's P/E of 0.3x is lower than 97% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IGARASHI?

A steep 1660.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. IGARASHI's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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