Case study

IGCL

Indogulf Cropsciences

Worth a closer look1y model +1.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IGCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) trades at ₹73,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IGCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹463 Cr
Current price
₹73
P/E ratio
11.6×
P/B ratio
1.01×
Book value
₹73
ROCE
12.2%
ROE
10.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How IGCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IGCL overvalued? IGCL P/E vs peers

IGCL trades at 11.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

IGCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.1y of IGCL history (-38%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IGCL 2027₹42₹74₹130+1%
IGCL 2028₹34₹75₹166+2%
IGCL 2029₹29₹75₹199+3%
IGCL 2030₹25₹76₹232+4%
IGCL 2031₹22₹77₹264+5%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IGCL goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
52%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹146 within 5 years

The bull case for IGCL

  • IGCL's P/E of 11.6x is lower than 83% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹199.

The bear case & risks

  • IGCL's return on equity of 10.9% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹29.

IGCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.1 years IGCL compounded at -38%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹42-₹130, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IGCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.1 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.0%
80% range₹42-₹130
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.1%
80% range₹29-₹199
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹22-₹264
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)26%

IGCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IGCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IGCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IGCL price target & forecast page.

IGCL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IGCL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

IGCL MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IGCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
GrowwCHEAPEST33.30%3.0×

Compare every broker on the IGCL MTF page.

About Indogulf Cropsciences: sector, index & market-cap context

Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹463 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IGCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indogulf Cropsciences's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IGCL analysis, FAQs

Is Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Indogulf Cropsciences (IGCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IGCL overvalued or undervalued?

IGCL trades at 11.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the IGCL share price target for 2031?

IGCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹77, with an 80% range of ₹22-₹264 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IGCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IGCL reaching ₹146 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for IGCL?

IGCL's P/E of 11.6x is lower than 83% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in IGCL?

IGCL's return on equity of 10.9% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on IGCL