Case study

IGIL

International Gemological Institute Ltd

Worth a closer look1y model -0.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

58Score

International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IGIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) trades at ₹356,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 25.2× earnings, ROE of 55.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IGIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹15,376 Cr
Current price
₹356
P/E ratio
25.2×
P/B ratio
10.35×
Book value
₹34
Dividend yield
0.70%
ROCE
69.2%
ROE
55.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How IGIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IGIL overvalued? IGIL P/E vs peers

IGIL trades at 25.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

IGIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of IGIL history (-28%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IGIL 2027₹206₹356₹615-0%
IGIL 2028₹164₹356₹770-0%
IGIL 2029₹141₹356₹900-0%
IGIL 2030₹120₹356₹1,058-0%
IGIL 2031₹105₹356₹1,204-0%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IGIL goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹712 within 5 years

The bull case for IGIL

  • IGIL's return on equity of 55.8% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IGIL's return on capital employed of 69.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹900.

The bear case & risks

  • IGIL's P/E of 25.2x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹141.

IGIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.6 years IGIL compounded at -28%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹206-₹615, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IGIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹206-₹615
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹141-₹900
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.1%
80% range₹105-₹1,204
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)23%

IGIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IGIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IGIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IGIL price target & forecast page.

IGIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IGIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

IGIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IGIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.44%3.1×
Zerodha32.41%3.1×
Groww32.55%3.1×
Dhan32.41%3.1×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST32.36%3.1×
Paytm Money32.55%3.1×
Pocketful32.61%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.41%3.1×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India32.55%3.1×

Compare every broker on the IGIL MTF page.

About International Gemological Institute Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,376 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IGIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of International Gemological Institute Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IGIL analysis, FAQs

Is International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, International Gemological Institute Ltd (IGIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 25.2× earnings, ROE of 55.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IGIL overvalued or undervalued?

IGIL trades at 25.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the IGIL share price target for 2031?

IGIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹356, with an 80% range of ₹105-₹1,204 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IGIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IGIL reaching ₹712 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for IGIL?

IGIL's return on equity of 55.8% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IGIL's return on capital employed of 69.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IGIL?

IGIL's P/E of 25.2x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on IGIL