IIFLCAPS
IIFL Securities
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IIFLCAPS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) trades at ₹346,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.
On the numbers, IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.2× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IIFLCAPS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IIFLCAPS overvalued? IIFLCAPS P/E vs its sector
IIFLCAPS's P/E of 19.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.87% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
IIFLCAPS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IIFLCAPS history (22%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IIFLCAPS 2027 | ₹190 | ₹380 | ₹762 | +10% |
| IIFLCAPS 2028 | ₹156 | ₹404 | ₹1,074 | +17% |
| IIFLCAPS 2029 | ₹134 | ₹447 | ₹1,448 | +30% |
| IIFLCAPS 2030 | ₹121 | ₹484 | ₹1,876 | +41% |
| IIFLCAPS 2031 | ₹112 | ₹525 | ₹2,460 | +53% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IIFLCAPS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IIFLCAPS
- A 19.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (20.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (23.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,448.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹134.
IIFLCAPS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IIFLCAPS compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹190–₹762, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IIFLCAPS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IIFLCAPS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IIFLCAPS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IIFLCAPS price target & forecast page.
IIFLCAPS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IIFLCAPS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IIFLCAPS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IIFLCAPS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the IIFLCAPS MTF page.
IIFLCAPS vs peers,sector comparison
About IIFL Securities: sector, index & market-cap context
IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,776 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the IIFLCAPS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IIFL Securities's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IIFLCAPS analysis, FAQs
Is IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) a good buy?
On the numbers, IIFL Securities (IIFLCAPS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.2× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IIFLCAPS overvalued or undervalued?
IIFLCAPS trades at 19.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IIFLCAPS share price target for 2031?
IIFLCAPS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹525, with an 80% range of ₹112–₹2,460 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IIFLCAPS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IIFLCAPS reaching ₹689 (2×) within 5 years is 41%.
What is the bull case for IIFLCAPS?
A 19.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (20.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (23.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in IIFLCAPS?
High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.