IKIO
IKIO
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
IKIO (IKIO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IKIO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
IKIO (IKIO) trades at ₹163,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, IKIO (IKIO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 33.4× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IKIO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IKIO overvalued? IKIO P/E vs its sector
IKIO's P/E of 33.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
IKIO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IKIO history (-34%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IKIO 2027 | ₹59 | ₹104 | ₹185 | -36% |
| IKIO 2028 | ₹30 | ₹67 | ₹151 | -59% |
| IKIO 2029 | ₹16 | ₹42 | ₹115 | -74% |
| IKIO 2030 | ₹9 | ₹27 | ₹87 | -83% |
| IKIO 2031 | ₹5 | ₹18 | ₹64 | -89% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IKIO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IKIO
- IKIO is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹115.
The bear case & risks
- At 33.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹16.
IKIO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IKIO compounded at -34%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹59–₹185, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IKIO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IKIO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IKIO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IKIO price target & forecast page.
IKIO Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IKIO scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
IKIO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IKIO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the IKIO MTF page.
IKIO vs peers,sector comparison
About IKIO: sector, index & market-cap context
IKIO (IKIO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,263 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the IKIO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IKIO's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IKIO analysis, FAQs
Is IKIO (IKIO) a good buy?
On the numbers, IKIO (IKIO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 33.4× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IKIO overvalued or undervalued?
IKIO trades at 33.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IKIO share price target for 2031?
IKIO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹18, with an 80% range of ₹5–₹64 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IKIO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IKIO reaching ₹324 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for IKIO?
IKIO is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in IKIO?
At 33.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 6.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.