IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IMFA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) trades at ₹1,430,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.
On the numbers, Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.2× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IMFA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IMFA overvalued? IMFA P/E vs its sector
IMFA's P/E of 18.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.87% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
IMFA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IMFA history (31%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMFA 2027 | ₹971 | ₹1,766 | ₹3,176 | +24% |
| IMFA 2028 | ₹932 | ₹2,175 | ₹4,895 | +52% |
| IMFA 2029 | ₹955 | ₹2,645 | ₹7,240 | +85% |
| IMFA 2030 | ₹979 | ₹3,265 | ₹10,412 | +128% |
| IMFA 2031 | ₹1,052 | ₹3,989 | ₹14,685 | +179% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IMFA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IMFA
- A 18.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 16.8% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,766 (+24%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,240.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹955.
IMFA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IMFA compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹971–₹3,176, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IMFA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IMFA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IMFA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IMFA price target & forecast page.
IMFA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IMFA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IMFA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IMFA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the IMFA MTF page.
IMFA vs peers,sector comparison
About Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys: sector, index & market-cap context
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,711 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the IMFA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IMFA analysis, FAQs
Is Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys (IMFA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.2× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IMFA overvalued or undervalued?
IMFA trades at 18.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IMFA share price target for 2031?
IMFA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,989, with an 80% range of ₹1,052–₹14,685 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IMFA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IMFA reaching ₹2,858 (2×) within 5 years is 62%.
What is the bull case for IMFA?
A 18.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 16.8% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in IMFA?
High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.