IMPAL
IMPAL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
IMPAL (IMPAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IMPAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
IMPAL (IMPAL) trades at ₹1,099,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, IMPAL (IMPAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.5× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IMPAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IMPAL overvalued? IMPAL P/E vs its sector
IMPAL's P/E of 17.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.73% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
IMPAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IMPAL history (-3%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMPAL 2027 | ₹693 | ₹999 | ₹1,462 | -6% |
| IMPAL 2028 | ₹549 | ₹940 | ₹1,592 | -12% |
| IMPAL 2029 | ₹456 | ₹871 | ₹1,664 | -18% |
| IMPAL 2030 | ₹387 | ₹814 | ₹1,711 | -24% |
| IMPAL 2031 | ₹337 | ₹760 | ₹1,756 | -29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IMPAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IMPAL
- A 17.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Low price-to-book of 0.54×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Pays a 2.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,664.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 3.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹456.
IMPAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IMPAL compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹693–₹1,462, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IMPAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IMPAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IMPAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IMPAL price target & forecast page.
IMPAL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IMPAL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IMPAL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IMPAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the IMPAL MTF page.
IMPAL vs peers,sector comparison
About IMPAL: sector, index & market-cap context
IMPAL (IMPAL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,372 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the IMPAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IMPAL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IMPAL analysis, FAQs
Is IMPAL (IMPAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, IMPAL (IMPAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.5× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IMPAL overvalued or undervalued?
IMPAL trades at 17.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IMPAL share price target for 2031?
IMPAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹760, with an 80% range of ₹337–₹1,756 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IMPAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IMPAL reaching ₹2,131 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for IMPAL?
A 17.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 0.54×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. Pays a 2.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in IMPAL?
Return on equity is a soft 3.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.