Case study

INDHOTEL

The Indian Hotels Co.

Tread carefully1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INDHOTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) trades at ₹733,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 60.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INDHOTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.04L Cr
Current price
₹733
P/E ratio
60.5×
P/B ratio
7.99×
Book value
₹92
Dividend yield
0.44%
ROCE
17.1%
ROE
14.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is INDHOTEL overvalued? INDHOTEL P/E vs its Hospitality

INDHOTEL's P/E of 60.5× sits above the Hospitality peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.44% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

INDHOTEL P/E
60.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
INDHOTEL div yield
0.44%
Peer median yield
1.65%

INDHOTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDHOTEL history (6%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INDHOTEL 2027₹499₹739₹1,079+2%
INDHOTEL 2028₹435₹747₹1,284+3%
INDHOTEL 2029₹387₹764₹1,481+5%
INDHOTEL 2030₹357₹775₹1,651+7%
INDHOTEL 2031₹330₹786₹1,822+8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INDHOTEL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
17%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,450 within 5 years

The bull case for INDHOTEL

  • A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,481.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 60.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹387.

INDHOTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INDHOTEL compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹499₹1,079, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INDHOTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹499–₹1,079
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹387–₹1,481
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.5%
80% range₹330–₹1,822
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)17%

INDHOTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INDHOTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INDHOTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INDHOTEL price target & forecast page.

INDHOTEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDHOTEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

INDHOTEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDHOTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.9%3.5×
Zerodha24.6%4.1×
DhanCHEAPEST23.0%4.3×

Compare every broker on the INDHOTEL MTF page.

Which ace investors hold INDHOTEL?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

INDHOTEL vs peers,Hospitality comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INDHOTEL (this stock)60.5×0.44%₹1.04L Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About The Indian Hotels Co.: sector, index & market-cap context

The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Hospitality sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.04L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the INDHOTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The Indian Hotels Co.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INDHOTEL analysis, FAQs

Is The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, The Indian Hotels Co. (INDHOTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 60.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INDHOTEL overvalued or undervalued?

INDHOTEL trades at 60.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its Hospitality peers.

What is the INDHOTEL share price target for 2031?

INDHOTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹786, with an 80% range of ₹330₹1,822 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INDHOTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INDHOTEL reaching ₹1,450 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.

What is the bull case for INDHOTEL?

A healthy 14.2% return on equity.

What are the risks in INDHOTEL?

A rich 60.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.

More on INDHOTEL