Case study

INDHOTEL

The Indian Hotels Company Limited

Mixed signals1y model +9.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INDHOTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) trades at ₹731,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INDHOTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.04L Cr
Current price
₹731
P/E ratio
53.5×
P/B ratio
7.97×
Book value
₹92
Dividend yield
0.44%
ROCE
17.1%
ROE
14.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How INDHOTEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is INDHOTEL overvalued? INDHOTEL P/E vs peers

INDHOTEL trades at 53.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

INDHOTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of INDHOTEL history (19%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INDHOTEL 2027₹552₹802₹1,166+10%
INDHOTEL 2028₹519₹881₹1,494+20%
INDHOTEL 2029₹503₹967₹1,859+32%
INDHOTEL 2030₹498₹1,061₹2,259+45%
INDHOTEL 2031₹492₹1,165₹2,756+59%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INDHOTEL goes up, or doubles?

62%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
76%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,462 within 5 years

The bull case for INDHOTEL

  • INDHOTEL's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹802 (+10%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,859.

The bear case & risks

  • INDHOTEL's P/E of 53.5x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹503.

INDHOTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years INDHOTEL compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹552-₹1,166, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INDHOTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.8%
80% range₹552-₹1,166
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.2%
80% range₹503-₹1,859
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
59.3%
80% range₹492-₹2,756
P(price ↑)76%
P(price 2×)37%

INDHOTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INDHOTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INDHOTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INDHOTEL price target & forecast page.

INDHOTEL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. INDHOTEL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

INDHOTEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDHOTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox24.90%4.0×
Zerodha24.20%4.1×
Groww24.23%4.1×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST21.41%4.7×
Paytm Money22.27%4.5×
Pocketful28.71%3.5×
Anand Rathi28.38%3.5×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India28.47%3.5×

Compare every broker on the INDHOTEL MTF page.

Which ace investors hold INDHOTEL?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About The Indian Hotels Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Hospitality sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.04L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the INDHOTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The Indian Hotels Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INDHOTEL analysis, FAQs

Is The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, The Indian Hotels Company Limited (INDHOTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INDHOTEL overvalued or undervalued?

INDHOTEL trades at 53.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the INDHOTEL share price target for 2031?

INDHOTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,165, with an 80% range of ₹492-₹2,756 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INDHOTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INDHOTEL reaching ₹1,462 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for INDHOTEL?

INDHOTEL's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹802 (+10%).

What are the risks in INDHOTEL?

INDHOTEL's P/E of 53.5x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on INDHOTEL