Case study

INDIACEM

THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +6.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INDIACEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) trades at ₹398,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 91.4× earnings, ROE of 0.4%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INDIACEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,339 Cr
Current price
₹398
P/E ratio
91.4×
P/B ratio
1.22×
Book value
₹327
ROCE
1.2%
ROE
0.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How INDIACEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is INDIACEM overvalued? INDIACEM P/E vs peers

INDIACEM trades at 91.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

INDIACEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of INDIACEM history (12%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INDIACEM 2027₹273₹424₹658+7%
INDIACEM 2028₹241₹452₹846+13%
INDIACEM 2029₹224₹481₹1,032+21%
INDIACEM 2030₹211₹513₹1,244+29%
INDIACEM 2031₹200₹546₹1,493+37%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INDIACEM goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
66%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹796 within 5 years

The bull case for INDIACEM

  • Low price-to-book of 1.22×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,032.

The bear case & risks

  • INDIACEM's P/E of 91.4x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • INDIACEM's return on equity of 0.4% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹224.

INDIACEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years INDIACEM compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹273-₹658, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INDIACEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.5%
80% range₹273-₹658
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.9%
80% range₹224-₹1,032
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
37.2%
80% range₹200-₹1,493
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)31%

INDIACEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INDIACEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INDIACEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INDIACEM price target & forecast page.

INDIACEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. INDIACEM scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

INDIACEM MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDIACEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.66%3.2×
Zerodha31.63%3.2×
Groww40.00%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST31.63%3.2×
Kotak Neo31.65%3.2×
Paytm Money31.87%3.1×
Pocketful31.79%3.1×
Fyers32.26%3.1×
Anand Rathi31.63%3.2×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India31.77%3.1×

Compare every broker on the INDIACEM MTF page.

Which ace investors hold INDIACEM?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,339 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the INDIACEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INDIACEM analysis, FAQs

Is THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, THE INDIA CEMENTS LIMITED (INDIACEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 91.4× earnings, ROE of 0.4%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INDIACEM overvalued or undervalued?

INDIACEM trades at 91.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the INDIACEM share price target for 2031?

INDIACEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹546, with an 80% range of ₹200-₹1,493 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INDIACEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INDIACEM reaching ₹796 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for INDIACEM?

Low price-to-book of 1.22×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in INDIACEM?

INDIACEM's P/E of 91.4x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. INDIACEM's return on equity of 0.4% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on INDIACEM