Case study

INDIASHLTR

INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L

Worth a closer look1y model -0.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INDIASHLTR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) trades at ₹777,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.9× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INDIASHLTR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,492 Cr
Current price
₹777
P/E ratio
16.9×
P/B ratio
2.64×
Book value
₹294
Dividend yield
1.29%
ROCE
12.8%
ROE
17.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is INDIASHLTR overvalued? INDIASHLTR P/E vs its sector

INDIASHLTR's P/E of 16.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.29% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

INDIASHLTR P/E
16.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
INDIASHLTR div yield
1.29%
Peer median yield
1.65%

INDIASHLTR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDIASHLTR history (4%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INDIASHLTR 2027₹529₹781₹1,171-0%
INDIASHLTR 2028₹444₹780₹1,366-1%
INDIASHLTR 2029₹390₹778₹1,557-1%
INDIASHLTR 2030₹349₹772₹1,718-2%
INDIASHLTR 2031₹311₹767₹1,884-2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INDIASHLTR goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
15%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,569 within 5 years

The bull case for INDIASHLTR

  • A 16.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 17.0% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,557.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹390.

INDIASHLTR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INDIASHLTR compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹529₹1,171, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INDIASHLTR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹529–₹1,171
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹390–₹1,557
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹311–₹1,884
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)15%

INDIASHLTR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INDIASHLTR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INDIASHLTR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INDIASHLTR price target & forecast page.

INDIASHLTR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDIASHLTR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

INDIASHLTR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDIASHLTR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.3%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.3%3.3×

Compare every broker on the INDIASHLTR MTF page.

INDIASHLTR vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INDIASHLTR (this stock)16.9×1.29%₹8,492 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L: sector, index & market-cap context

INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,492 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the INDIASHLTR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INDIASHLTR analysis, FAQs

Is INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) a good buy?

On the numbers, INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L (INDIASHLTR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.9× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INDIASHLTR overvalued or undervalued?

INDIASHLTR trades at 16.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the INDIASHLTR share price target for 2031?

INDIASHLTR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹767, with an 80% range of ₹311₹1,884 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INDIASHLTR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INDIASHLTR reaching ₹1,569 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.

What is the bull case for INDIASHLTR?

A 16.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 17.0% return on equity.

What are the risks in INDIASHLTR?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on INDIASHLTR