INDIGO
Interglobe Aviation Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INDIGO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) trades at ₹5,333,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.
On the numbers, Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing expensive at 180.0× earnings, ROE of -27.1%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INDIGO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How INDIGO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- INDIGO's market cap of 2.06L Cr ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- INDIGO's book value of ₹180 ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- INDIGO's promoter holding of 41.6% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- INDIGO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 28.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- INDIGO's 3-year revenue growth of 16.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- INDIGO's debt-to-equity ratio of 11.15x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is INDIGO overvalued? INDIGO P/E vs peers
INDIGO trades at 180.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
INDIGO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of INDIGO history (19%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIGO 2027 | ₹3,828 | ₹5,776 | ₹8,716 | +8% |
| INDIGO 2028 | ₹3,495 | ₹6,257 | ₹11,199 | +17% |
| INDIGO 2029 | ₹3,337 | ₹6,777 | ₹13,762 | +27% |
| INDIGO 2030 | ₹3,208 | ₹7,341 | ₹16,795 | +38% |
| INDIGO 2031 | ₹3,153 | ₹7,951 | ₹20,049 | +49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INDIGO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INDIGO
- Interglobe Aviation Limited is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹13,762.
The bear case & risks
- INDIGO's P/E of 180.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 29.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,337.
INDIGO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years INDIGO compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,828-₹8,716, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INDIGO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INDIGO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INDIGO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INDIGO price target & forecast page.
INDIGO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. INDIGO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
INDIGO MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDIGO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.66% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Groww | 26.59% | 3.8× |
| Dhan | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 24.15% | 4.1× |
| Paytm Money | 24.26% | 4.1× |
| Pocketful | 31.17% | 3.2× |
| Fyers | 32.26% | 3.1× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.13% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Share India | 31.24% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the INDIGO MTF page.
About Interglobe Aviation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Aviation sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.06L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the INDIGO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Interglobe Aviation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INDIGO analysis, FAQs
Is Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Interglobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing expensive at 180.0× earnings, ROE of -27.1%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INDIGO overvalued or undervalued?
INDIGO trades at 180.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the INDIGO share price target for 2031?
INDIGO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,951, with an 80% range of ₹3,153-₹20,049 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INDIGO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INDIGO reaching ₹10,666 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for INDIGO?
Interglobe Aviation Limited is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in INDIGO?
INDIGO's P/E of 180.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 29.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.