INDIGOPNTS
Indigo Paints
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INDIGOPNTS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) trades at ₹1,018,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 32.5× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INDIGOPNTS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is INDIGOPNTS overvalued? INDIGOPNTS P/E vs its sector
INDIGOPNTS's P/E of 32.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.34% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
INDIGOPNTS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDIGOPNTS history (-15%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIGOPNTS 2027 | ₹550 | ₹839 | ₹1,280 | -18% |
| INDIGOPNTS 2028 | ₹377 | ₹687 | ₹1,249 | -33% |
| INDIGOPNTS 2029 | ₹264 | ₹561 | ₹1,173 | -45% |
| INDIGOPNTS 2030 | ₹195 | ₹458 | ₹1,081 | -55% |
| INDIGOPNTS 2031 | ₹145 | ₹377 | ₹953 | -63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INDIGOPNTS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INDIGOPNTS
- A healthy 13.7% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,173.
The bear case & risks
- At 32.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹264.
INDIGOPNTS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years INDIGOPNTS compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹550–₹1,280, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INDIGOPNTS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INDIGOPNTS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INDIGOPNTS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INDIGOPNTS price target & forecast page.
INDIGOPNTS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDIGOPNTS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
INDIGOPNTS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDIGOPNTS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the INDIGOPNTS MTF page.
INDIGOPNTS vs peers,sector comparison
About Indigo Paints: sector, index & market-cap context
Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,856 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the INDIGOPNTS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indigo Paints's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INDIGOPNTS analysis, FAQs
Is Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Indigo Paints (INDIGOPNTS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 32.5× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INDIGOPNTS overvalued or undervalued?
INDIGOPNTS trades at 32.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the INDIGOPNTS share price target for 2031?
INDIGOPNTS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹377, with an 80% range of ₹145–₹953 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INDIGOPNTS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INDIGOPNTS reaching ₹2,050 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for INDIGOPNTS?
A healthy 13.7% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in INDIGOPNTS?
At 32.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.