Case study

INDNIPPON

India Nippon Electricals

Worth a closer look1y model -0.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INDNIPPON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) trades at ₹921,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.9× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INDNIPPON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,078 Cr
Current price
₹921
P/E ratio
20.9×
P/B ratio
2.54×
Book value
₹363
Dividend yield
1.68%
ROCE
17.1%
ROE
13.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is INDNIPPON overvalued? INDNIPPON P/E vs its sector

INDNIPPON's P/E of 20.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.68% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

INDNIPPON P/E
20.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
INDNIPPON div yield
1.68%
Peer median yield
1.67%

INDNIPPON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDNIPPON history (7%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INDNIPPON 2027₹579₹912₹1,446-0%
INDNIPPON 2028₹484₹928₹1,762+2%
INDNIPPON 2029₹417₹928₹2,023+2%
INDNIPPON 2030₹369₹924₹2,333+1%
INDNIPPON 2031₹330₹940₹2,637+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INDNIPPON goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
20%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,829 within 5 years

The bull case for INDNIPPON

  • A 20.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 13.0% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,023.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹417.

INDNIPPON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INDNIPPON compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹579₹1,446, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INDNIPPON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.2%
80% range₹579–₹1,446
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹417–₹2,023
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.8%
80% range₹330–₹2,637
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)20%

INDNIPPON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INDNIPPON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INDNIPPON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INDNIPPON price target & forecast page.

INDNIPPON Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDNIPPON scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

INDNIPPON MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDNIPPON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the INDNIPPON MTF page.

INDNIPPON vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INDNIPPON (this stock)20.9×1.68%₹2,078 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About India Nippon Electricals: sector, index & market-cap context

India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,078 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the INDNIPPON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of India Nippon Electricals's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INDNIPPON analysis, FAQs

Is India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) a good buy?

On the numbers, India Nippon Electricals (INDNIPPON) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.9× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INDNIPPON overvalued or undervalued?

INDNIPPON trades at 20.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the INDNIPPON share price target for 2031?

INDNIPPON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹940, with an 80% range of ₹330₹2,637 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INDNIPPON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INDNIPPON reaching ₹1,829 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.

What is the bull case for INDNIPPON?

A 20.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 13.0% return on equity.

What are the risks in INDNIPPON?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on INDNIPPON