INDOSTAR
INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INDOSTAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) trades at ₹247,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 234.0× earnings, ROE of -23.6%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INDOSTAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is INDOSTAR overvalued? INDOSTAR P/E vs its sector
INDOSTAR's P/E of 234.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
INDOSTAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDOSTAR history (-2%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDOSTAR 2027 | ₹118 | ₹221 | ₹406 | -12% |
| INDOSTAR 2028 | ₹81 | ₹194 | ₹464 | -22% |
| INDOSTAR 2029 | ₹58 | ₹167 | ₹493 | -33% |
| INDOSTAR 2030 | ₹42 | ₹147 | ₹509 | -41% |
| INDOSTAR 2031 | ₹33 | ₹129 | ₹526 | -48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INDOSTAR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INDOSTAR
- Low price-to-book of 1.06×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹493.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 234.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.
INDOSTAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years INDOSTAR compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹118–₹406, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INDOSTAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INDOSTAR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INDOSTAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INDOSTAR price target & forecast page.
INDOSTAR Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDOSTAR scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
INDOSTAR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDOSTAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the INDOSTAR MTF page.
INDOSTAR vs peers,sector comparison
About INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE: sector, index & market-cap context
INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,988 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the INDOSTAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INDOSTAR analysis, FAQs
Is INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) a good buy?
On the numbers, INDOSTAR CAPITAL FINANCE (INDOSTAR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 234.0× earnings, ROE of -23.6%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INDOSTAR overvalued or undervalued?
INDOSTAR trades at 234.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the INDOSTAR share price target for 2031?
INDOSTAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹129, with an 80% range of ₹33–₹526 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INDOSTAR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INDOSTAR reaching ₹499 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for INDOSTAR?
Low price-to-book of 1.06×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in INDOSTAR?
A rich 234.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.