INDOTHAI
INDO THAI SEC LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INDOTHAI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) trades at ₹226,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 44.2× earnings, ROE of 28.6%, a 99% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INDOTHAI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is INDOTHAI overvalued? INDOTHAI P/E vs its sector
INDOTHAI's P/E of 44.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.04% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
INDOTHAI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INDOTHAI history (108%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDOTHAI 2027 | ₹350 | ₹626 | ₹1,128 | +165% |
| INDOTHAI 2028 | ₹732 | ₹1,671 | ₹3,843 | +606% |
| INDOTHAI 2029 | ₹1,604 | ₹4,414 | ₹12,323 | +1766% |
| INDOTHAI 2030 | ₹3,586 | ₹11,726 | ₹37,992 | +4858% |
| INDOTHAI 2031 | ₹8,360 | ₹30,566 | ₹1,17,388 | +12824% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INDOTHAI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INDOTHAI
- High return on equity (28.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (34.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 99% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹626 (+165%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,323.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 44.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,604.
INDOTHAI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years INDOTHAI compounded at 108%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹350–₹1,128, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INDOTHAI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INDOTHAI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INDOTHAI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INDOTHAI price target & forecast page.
INDOTHAI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INDOTHAI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
INDOTHAI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INDOTHAI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the INDOTHAI MTF page.
INDOTHAI vs peers,sector comparison
About INDO THAI SEC LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,927 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the INDOTHAI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INDO THAI SEC LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INDOTHAI analysis, FAQs
Is INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) a good buy?
On the numbers, INDO THAI SEC LTD (INDOTHAI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 44.2× earnings, ROE of 28.6%, a 99% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INDOTHAI overvalued or undervalued?
INDOTHAI trades at 44.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the INDOTHAI share price target for 2031?
INDOTHAI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹30,566, with an 80% range of ₹8,360–₹1,17,388 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INDOTHAI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INDOTHAI reaching ₹473 (2×) within 5 years is 100%.
What is the bull case for INDOTHAI?
High return on equity (28.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (34.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 99% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹626 (+165%).
What are the risks in INDOTHAI?
A rich 44.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.