Case study

INNOVACAP

INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +3.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INNOVACAP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) trades at ₹944,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 38.5× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INNOVACAP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,405 Cr
Current price
₹944
P/E ratio
38.5×
P/B ratio
4.94×
Book value
₹191
Dividend yield
0.21%
ROCE
15.0%
ROE
13.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How INNOVACAP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is INNOVACAP overvalued? INNOVACAP P/E vs peers

INNOVACAP trades at 38.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

INNOVACAP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.6y of INNOVACAP history (22%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INNOVACAP 2027₹579₹974₹1,639+3%
INNOVACAP 2028₹483₹1,005₹2,090+6%
INNOVACAP 2029₹423₹1,037₹2,541+10%
INNOVACAP 2030₹375₹1,069₹3,052+13%
INNOVACAP 2031₹342₹1,103₹3,553+17%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INNOVACAP goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,889 within 5 years

The bull case for INNOVACAP

  • INNOVACAP's return on equity of 13.7% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,541.

The bear case & risks

  • INNOVACAP's P/E of 38.5x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹423.

INNOVACAP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.6 years INNOVACAP compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹579-₹1,639, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INNOVACAP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.2%
80% range₹579-₹1,639
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.8%
80% range₹423-₹2,541
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.8%
80% range₹342-₹3,553
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)28%

INNOVACAP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INNOVACAP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INNOVACAP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INNOVACAP price target & forecast page.

INNOVACAP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. INNOVACAP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

INNOVACAP MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INNOVACAP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.05%3.1×
Groww32.19%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.05%3.1×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money32.32%3.1×
Pocketful32.35%3.1×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.05%3.1×
Bajaj Broking42.00%2.4×
Share India32.18%3.1×

Compare every broker on the INNOVACAP MTF page.

About INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,405 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the INNOVACAP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INNOVACAP analysis, FAQs

Is INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) a good buy?

On the numbers, INNOVA CAPTAB LIMITED (INNOVACAP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 38.5× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INNOVACAP overvalued or undervalued?

INNOVACAP trades at 38.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the INNOVACAP share price target for 2031?

INNOVACAP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,103, with an 80% range of ₹342-₹3,553 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INNOVACAP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INNOVACAP reaching ₹1,889 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for INNOVACAP?

INNOVACAP's return on equity of 13.7% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in INNOVACAP?

INNOVACAP's P/E of 38.5x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on INNOVACAP