Case study

INOXGREEN

Inox Green Energy Services

High-risk on the numbers1y model -4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INOXGREEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) trades at ₹205,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.

On the numbers, Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 79.7× earnings, ROE of 5.6%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INOXGREEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,236 Cr
Current price
₹205
P/E ratio
79.7×
P/B ratio
4.82×
Book value
₹43
ROCE
8.4%
ROE
5.6%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is INOXGREEN overvalued? INOXGREEN P/E vs its sector

INOXGREEN's P/E of 79.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

INOXGREEN P/E
79.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

INOXGREEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INOXGREEN history (9%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INOXGREEN 2027₹98₹191₹370-4%
INOXGREEN 2028₹72₹185₹478-7%
INOXGREEN 2029₹56₹174₹562-13%
INOXGREEN 2030₹45₹167₹644-16%
INOXGREEN 2031₹36₹161₹721-19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INOXGREEN goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
42%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹399 within 5 years

The bull case for INOXGREEN

  • Inox Green Energy Services is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹562.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 79.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 5.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹56.

INOXGREEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INOXGREEN compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹98₹370, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INOXGREEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹98–₹370
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹56–₹562
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.4%
80% range₹36–₹721
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)22%

INOXGREEN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INOXGREEN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INOXGREEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INOXGREEN price target & forecast page.

INOXGREEN Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INOXGREEN scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

INOXGREEN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INOXGREEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST38.1%2.6×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST38.1%2.6×
DhanCHEAPEST38.1%2.6×

Compare every broker on the INOXGREEN MTF page.

INOXGREEN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INOXGREEN (this stock)79.7×₹8,236 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Inox Green Energy Services: sector, index & market-cap context

Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,236 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the INOXGREEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Inox Green Energy Services's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INOXGREEN analysis, FAQs

Is Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Inox Green Energy Services (INOXGREEN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 79.7× earnings, ROE of 5.6%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INOXGREEN overvalued or undervalued?

INOXGREEN trades at 79.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the INOXGREEN share price target for 2031?

INOXGREEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹161, with an 80% range of ₹36₹721 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INOXGREEN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INOXGREEN reaching ₹399 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for INOXGREEN?

Inox Green Energy Services is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in INOXGREEN?

A rich 79.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 5.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on INOXGREEN