INOXINDIA
INOXINDIA
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INOXINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) trades at ₹2,041,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.
On the numbers, INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 71.2× earnings, ROE of 26.1%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INOXINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is INOXINDIA overvalued? INOXINDIA P/E vs its sector
INOXINDIA's P/E of 71.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.10% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
INOXINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INOXINDIA history (20%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INOXINDIA 2027 | ₹1,480 | ₹2,213 | ₹3,343 | +15% |
| INOXINDIA 2028 | ₹1,451 | ₹2,578 | ₹4,579 | +34% |
| INOXINDIA 2029 | ₹1,465 | ₹2,951 | ₹6,027 | +54% |
| INOXINDIA 2030 | ₹1,539 | ₹3,457 | ₹7,891 | +80% |
| INOXINDIA 2031 | ₹1,611 | ₹3,992 | ₹10,081 | +108% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INOXINDIA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INOXINDIA
- High return on equity (26.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (33.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,213 (+15%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,027.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 71.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 16.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,465.
INOXINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years INOXINDIA compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,480–₹3,343, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INOXINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INOXINDIA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INOXINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INOXINDIA price target & forecast page.
INOXINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INOXINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
INOXINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INOXINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.3% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.3% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the INOXINDIA MTF page.
INOXINDIA vs peers,sector comparison
About INOXINDIA: sector, index & market-cap context
INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,526 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the INOXINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INOXINDIA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INOXINDIA analysis, FAQs
Is INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) a good buy?
On the numbers, INOXINDIA (INOXINDIA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 71.2× earnings, ROE of 26.1%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INOXINDIA overvalued or undervalued?
INOXINDIA trades at 71.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the INOXINDIA share price target for 2031?
INOXINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,992, with an 80% range of ₹1,611–₹10,081 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INOXINDIA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INOXINDIA reaching ₹3,836 (2×) within 5 years is 52%.
What is the bull case for INOXINDIA?
High return on equity (26.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (33.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,213 (+15%).
What are the risks in INOXINDIA?
A rich 71.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 16.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.