Case study

INSECTICID

Insecticides (India)

Worth a closer look1y model -9.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INSECTICID a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) trades at ₹689,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.

On the numbers, Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 12.1%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INSECTICID fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,006 Cr
Current price
₹689
P/E ratio
14.4×
P/B ratio
1.64×
Book value
₹419
Dividend yield
0.29%
ROCE
15.9%
ROE
12.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is INSECTICID overvalued? INSECTICID P/E vs its sector

INSECTICID's P/E of 14.4× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.29% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

INSECTICID P/E
14.4×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
INSECTICID div yield
0.29%
Peer median yield
1.65%

INSECTICID share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INSECTICID history (-2%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INSECTICID 2027₹384₹624₹1,014-9%
INSECTICID 2028₹281₹560₹1,134-19%
INSECTICID 2029₹222₹513₹1,191-25%
INSECTICID 2030₹176₹468₹1,232-32%
INSECTICID 2031₹139₹422₹1,232-39%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INSECTICID goes up, or doubles?

39%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
28%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
8%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,377 within 5 years

The bull case for INSECTICID

  • Trades at just 14.4× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • A healthy 12.1% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,191.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹222.

INSECTICID volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INSECTICID compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹384₹1,014, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INSECTICID price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.3%
80% range₹384–₹1,014
P(price ↑)39%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.5%
80% range₹222–₹1,191
P(price ↑)33%
P(price 2×)6%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
38.7%
80% range₹139–₹1,232
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)8%

INSECTICID price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INSECTICID simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INSECTICID hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INSECTICID price target & forecast page.

INSECTICID Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INSECTICID scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

INSECTICID MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INSECTICID with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.0%3.1×
Dhan50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the INSECTICID MTF page.

INSECTICID vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INSECTICID (this stock)14.4×0.29%₹2,006 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Insecticides (India): sector, index & market-cap context

Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,006 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the INSECTICID Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Insecticides (India)'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INSECTICID analysis, FAQs

Is Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) a good buy?

On the numbers, Insecticides (India) (INSECTICID) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 12.1%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INSECTICID overvalued or undervalued?

INSECTICID trades at 14.4× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the INSECTICID share price target for 2031?

INSECTICID's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹422, with an 80% range of ₹139₹1,232 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INSECTICID doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INSECTICID reaching ₹1,377 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.

What is the bull case for INSECTICID?

Trades at just 14.4× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 12.1% return on equity.

What are the risks in INSECTICID?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on INSECTICID