INTELLECT
Intellect Design Arena
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is INTELLECT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) trades at ₹752,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
INTELLECT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is INTELLECT overvalued? INTELLECT P/E vs its sector
INTELLECT's P/E of 28.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.53% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
INTELLECT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INTELLECT history (-18%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTELLECT 2027 | ₹318 | ₹567 | ₹1,016 | -24% |
| INTELLECT 2028 | ₹196 | ₹426 | ₹955 | -43% |
| INTELLECT 2029 | ₹119 | ₹316 | ₹880 | -58% |
| INTELLECT 2030 | ₹77 | ₹240 | ₹786 | -68% |
| INTELLECT 2031 | ₹51 | ₹181 | ₹684 | -76% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability INTELLECT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for INTELLECT
- A healthy 12.4% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹880.
The bear case & risks
- At 28.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹119.
INTELLECT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years INTELLECT compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹318–₹1,016, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
INTELLECT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
INTELLECT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds INTELLECT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the INTELLECT price target & forecast page.
INTELLECT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INTELLECT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
INTELLECT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INTELLECT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.1% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.1% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.1% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the INTELLECT MTF page.
Which ace investors hold INTELLECT?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
INTELLECT vs peers,sector comparison
About Intellect Design Arena: sector, index & market-cap context
Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,526 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the INTELLECT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Intellect Design Arena's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
INTELLECT analysis, FAQs
Is Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Intellect Design Arena (INTELLECT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is INTELLECT overvalued or undervalued?
INTELLECT trades at 28.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the INTELLECT share price target for 2031?
INTELLECT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹181, with an 80% range of ₹51–₹684 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability INTELLECT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of INTELLECT reaching ₹1,493 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for INTELLECT?
A healthy 12.4% return on equity.
What are the risks in INTELLECT?
At 28.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.