Case study

INTELLECT

Intellect Design Arena Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INTELLECT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) trades at ₹721,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 27.4× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INTELLECT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,118 Cr
Current price
₹721
P/E ratio
27.4×
P/B ratio
3.18×
Book value
₹227
Dividend yield
0.55%
ROCE
16.0%
ROE
12.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How INTELLECT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is INTELLECT overvalued? INTELLECT P/E vs peers

INTELLECT trades at 27.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

INTELLECT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of INTELLECT history (13%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INTELLECT 2027₹422₹743₹1,310+3%
INTELLECT 2028₹348₹766₹1,685+6%
INTELLECT 2029₹301₹789₹2,072+9%
INTELLECT 2030₹262₹813₹2,522+13%
INTELLECT 2031₹236₹838₹2,974+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INTELLECT goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,443 within 5 years

The bull case for INTELLECT

  • INTELLECT's return on equity of 12.4% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,072.

The bear case & risks

  • INTELLECT's P/E of 27.4x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹301.

INTELLECT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years INTELLECT compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹422-₹1,310, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INTELLECT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹422-₹1,310
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹301-₹2,072
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.2%
80% range₹236-₹2,974
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)29%

INTELLECT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INTELLECT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INTELLECT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INTELLECT price target & forecast page.

INTELLECT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. INTELLECT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

INTELLECT MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INTELLECT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.49%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.44%2.9×
Groww34.55%2.9×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo34.48%2.9×
Paytm Money35.50%2.8×
Pocketful34.88%2.9×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.44%2.9×
Bajaj Broking37.00%2.7×
Share India34.55%2.9×

Compare every broker on the INTELLECT MTF page.

Which ace investors hold INTELLECT?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Intellect Design Arena Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,118 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the INTELLECT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Intellect Design Arena Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INTELLECT analysis, FAQs

Is Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Intellect Design Arena Limited (INTELLECT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 27.4× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INTELLECT overvalued or undervalued?

INTELLECT trades at 27.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the INTELLECT share price target for 2031?

INTELLECT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹838, with an 80% range of ₹236-₹2,974 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INTELLECT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INTELLECT reaching ₹1,443 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for INTELLECT?

INTELLECT's return on equity of 12.4% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in INTELLECT?

INTELLECT's P/E of 27.4x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on INTELLECT