Case study

IPCALAB

IPCA Laboratories

Worth a closer look1y model +13.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IPCALAB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) trades at ₹1,597,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.

On the numbers, IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 33.7× earnings, ROE of 16.0%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IPCALAB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹40,568 Cr
Current price
₹1,597
P/E ratio
33.7×
P/B ratio
5.02×
Book value
₹318
Dividend yield
0.25%
ROCE
17.3%
ROE
16.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is IPCALAB overvalued? IPCALAB P/E vs its sector

IPCALAB's P/E of 33.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.25% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

IPCALAB P/E
33.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
IPCALAB div yield
0.25%
Peer median yield
1.65%

IPCALAB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IPCALAB history (17%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IPCALAB 2027₹1,207₹1,798₹2,681+13%
IPCALAB 2028₹1,180₹2,039₹3,573+29%
IPCALAB 2029₹1,177₹2,316₹4,583+46%
IPCALAB 2030₹1,206₹2,648₹5,759+67%
IPCALAB 2031₹1,243₹3,002₹7,220+89%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IPCALAB goes up, or doubles?

66%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
82%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
47%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,172 within 5 years

The bull case for IPCALAB

  • A healthy 16.0% return on equity.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,798 (+13%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,583.

The bear case & risks

  • At 33.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,177.

IPCALAB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years IPCALAB compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,207₹2,681, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IPCALAB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
13.4%
80% range₹1,207–₹2,681
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
46.0%
80% range₹1,177–₹4,583
P(price ↑)76%
P(price 2×)28%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
89.3%
80% range₹1,243–₹7,220
P(price ↑)82%
P(price 2×)47%

IPCALAB price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IPCALAB simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IPCALAB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IPCALAB price target & forecast page.

IPCALAB Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IPCALAB scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

IPCALAB MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IPCALAB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×

Compare every broker on the IPCALAB MTF page.

IPCALAB vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IPCALAB (this stock)33.7×0.25%₹40,568 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About IPCA Laboratories: sector, index & market-cap context

IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹40,568 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the IPCALAB Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IPCA Laboratories's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IPCALAB analysis, FAQs

Is IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) a good buy?

On the numbers, IPCA Laboratories (IPCALAB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 33.7× earnings, ROE of 16.0%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IPCALAB overvalued or undervalued?

IPCALAB trades at 33.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the IPCALAB share price target for 2031?

IPCALAB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,002, with an 80% range of ₹1,243₹7,220 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IPCALAB doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IPCALAB reaching ₹3,172 (2×) within 5 years is 47%.

What is the bull case for IPCALAB?

A healthy 16.0% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,798 (+13%).

What are the risks in IPCALAB?

At 33.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.

More on IPCALAB