Case study

IPL

INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +1.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) trades at ₹145,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.5× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,673 Cr
Current price
₹145
P/E ratio
15.5×
P/B ratio
1.65×
Book value
₹88
Dividend yield
0.52%
ROCE
16.6%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How IPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IPL overvalued? IPL P/E vs peers

IPL trades at 15.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

IPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.0y of IPL history (-17%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IPL 2027₹88₹147₹246+1%
IPL 2028₹72₹149₹311+3%
IPL 2029₹61₹151₹374+4%
IPL 2030₹55₹153₹428+6%
IPL 2031₹49₹156₹491+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IPL goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹291 within 5 years

The bull case for IPL

  • IPL's P/E of 15.5x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IPL's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹374.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹61.

IPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.0 years IPL compounded at -17%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹88-₹246, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹88-₹246
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.2%
80% range₹61-₹374
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.1%
80% range₹49-₹491
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)24%

IPL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IPL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IPL price target & forecast page.

IPL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IPL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

IPL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.65%3.0×
Groww40.00%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money33.69%3.0×
Pocketful34.12%2.9×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.65%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India33.79%3.0×

Compare every broker on the IPL MTF page.

About INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,673 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IPL analysis, FAQs

Is INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) a good buy?

On the numbers, INDIA PESTICIDES LIMITED (IPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.5× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IPL overvalued or undervalued?

IPL trades at 15.5× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the IPL share price target for 2031?

IPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹156, with an 80% range of ₹49-₹491 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IPL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IPL reaching ₹291 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for IPL?

IPL's P/E of 15.5x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IPL's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IPL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on IPL