IPL
India Pesticides
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
India Pesticides (IPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
India Pesticides (IPL) trades at ₹170,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, India Pesticides (IPL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IPL overvalued? IPL P/E vs its sector
IPL's P/E of 16.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.44% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
IPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IPL history (-19%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPL 2027 | ₹72 | ₹122 | ₹207 | -24% |
| IPL 2028 | ₹44 | ₹93 | ₹197 | -42% |
| IPL 2029 | ₹29 | ₹71 | ₹172 | -56% |
| IPL 2030 | ₹19 | ₹54 | ₹152 | -66% |
| IPL 2031 | ₹13 | ₹41 | ₹129 | -74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IPL
- A 16.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 12.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹172.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹29.
IPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IPL compounded at -19%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹72–₹207, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IPL price target & forecast page.
IPL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IPL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IPL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the IPL MTF page.
IPL vs peers,sector comparison
About India Pesticides: sector, index & market-cap context
India Pesticides (IPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,968 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the IPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of India Pesticides's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IPL analysis, FAQs
Is India Pesticides (IPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, India Pesticides (IPL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IPL overvalued or undervalued?
IPL trades at 16.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IPL share price target for 2031?
IPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹41, with an 80% range of ₹13–₹129 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IPL reaching ₹321 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for IPL?
A 16.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in IPL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.