Case study

IRIS

IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

48Score

IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IRIS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) trades at ₹257,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.

On the numbers, IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 89.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IRIS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹530 Cr
Current price
₹257
P/E ratio
41.3×
P/B ratio
2.63×
Book value
₹98
ROCE
10.6%
ROE
89.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How IRIS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IRIS overvalued? IRIS P/E vs peers

IRIS trades at 41.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

IRIS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.6y of IRIS history (23%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IRIS 2027₹153₹268₹470+4%
IRIS 2028₹127₹278₹607+7%
IRIS 2029₹110₹288₹750+11%
IRIS 2030₹99₹298₹899+15%
IRIS 2031₹89₹308₹1,069+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IRIS goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹518 within 5 years

The bull case for IRIS

  • IRIS's return on equity of 89.5% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹750.

The bear case & risks

  • IRIS's P/E of 41.3x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹110.

IRIS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.6 years IRIS compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹153-₹470, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IRIS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹153-₹470
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.0%
80% range₹110-₹750
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.0%
80% range₹89-₹1,069
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)29%

IRIS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IRIS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IRIS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IRIS price target & forecast page.

IRIS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IRIS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

IRIS MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IRIS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.97%2.8×

Compare every broker on the IRIS MTF page.

About IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹530 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IRIS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IRIS analysis, FAQs

Is IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) a good buy?

On the numbers, IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited (IRIS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 89.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IRIS overvalued or undervalued?

IRIS trades at 41.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the IRIS share price target for 2031?

IRIS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹308, with an 80% range of ₹89-₹1,069 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IRIS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IRIS reaching ₹518 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for IRIS?

IRIS's return on equity of 89.5% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IRIS?

IRIS's P/E of 41.3x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on IRIS