Case study

IRIS

IRIS

High-risk on the numbers1y model +4.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

IRIS (IRIS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IRIS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

IRIS (IRIS) trades at ₹277,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, IRIS (IRIS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 40.4× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IRIS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹572 Cr
Current price
₹277
P/E ratio
40.4×
P/B ratio
2.84×
Book value
₹98
ROCE
12.6%
ROE
10.2%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is IRIS overvalued? IRIS P/E vs its sector

IRIS's P/E of 40.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

IRIS P/E
40.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

IRIS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IRIS history (14%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IRIS 2027₹160₹284₹497+5%
IRIS 2028₹132₹296₹656+9%
IRIS 2029₹115₹308₹816+14%
IRIS 2030₹104₹324₹978+20%
IRIS 2031₹96₹335₹1,188+24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IRIS goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹542 within 5 years

The bull case for IRIS

  • IRIS is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹816.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 40.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹115.

IRIS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years IRIS compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹160₹497, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IRIS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹160–₹497
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.8%
80% range₹115–₹816
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
23.8%
80% range₹96–₹1,188
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)31%

IRIS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IRIS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IRIS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IRIS price target & forecast page.

IRIS Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IRIS scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

IRIS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IRIS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the IRIS MTF page.

IRIS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IRIS (this stock)40.4×₹572 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About IRIS: sector, index & market-cap context

IRIS (IRIS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹572 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the IRIS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IRIS's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IRIS analysis, FAQs

Is IRIS (IRIS) a good buy?

On the numbers, IRIS (IRIS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 40.4× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IRIS overvalued or undervalued?

IRIS trades at 40.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the IRIS share price target for 2031?

IRIS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹335, with an 80% range of ₹96₹1,188 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IRIS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IRIS reaching ₹542 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for IRIS?

IRIS is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in IRIS?

A rich 40.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on IRIS