Case study

IRMENERGY

IRMENERGY

Tread carefully1y model -30.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IRMENERGY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) trades at ₹279,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.

On the numbers, IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IRMENERGY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,141 Cr
Current price
₹279
P/E ratio
21.4×
P/B ratio
1.15×
Book value
₹243
Dividend yield
0.54%
ROCE
8.6%
ROE
5.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is IRMENERGY overvalued? IRMENERGY P/E vs its sector

IRMENERGY's P/E of 21.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.54% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

IRMENERGY P/E
21.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
IRMENERGY div yield
0.54%
Peer median yield
1.65%

IRMENERGY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IRMENERGY history (-26%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IRMENERGY 2027₹109₹194₹346-31%
IRMENERGY 2028₹59₹136₹310-51%
IRMENERGY 2029₹34₹95₹262-66%
IRMENERGY 2030₹20₹66₹216-77%
IRMENERGY 2031₹12₹46₹171-84%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IRMENERGY goes up, or doubles?

21%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
4%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹560 within 5 years

The bull case for IRMENERGY

  • A 21.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.15×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹262.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 5.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹34.

IRMENERGY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years IRMENERGY compounded at -26%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹109₹346, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IRMENERGY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
30.6%
80% range₹109–₹346
P(price ↑)21%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
66.1%
80% range₹34–₹262
P(price ↑)9%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
83.7%
80% range₹12–₹171
P(price ↑)4%
P(price 2×)1%

IRMENERGY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IRMENERGY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IRMENERGY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IRMENERGY price target & forecast page.

IRMENERGY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IRMENERGY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

IRMENERGY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IRMENERGY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST38.5%2.6×

Compare every broker on the IRMENERGY MTF page.

IRMENERGY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IRMENERGY (this stock)21.4×0.54%₹1,141 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About IRMENERGY: sector, index & market-cap context

IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,141 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the IRMENERGY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IRMENERGY's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IRMENERGY analysis, FAQs

Is IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) a good buy?

On the numbers, IRMENERGY (IRMENERGY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IRMENERGY overvalued or undervalued?

IRMENERGY trades at 21.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the IRMENERGY share price target for 2031?

IRMENERGY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹46, with an 80% range of ₹12₹171 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IRMENERGY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IRMENERGY reaching ₹560 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for IRMENERGY?

A 21.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 1.15×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in IRMENERGY?

Return on equity is a soft 5.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on IRMENERGY