ISGEC
Isgec Heavy Engineering
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ISGEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) trades at ₹957,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 61.3× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ISGEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ISGEC overvalued? ISGEC P/E vs its sector
ISGEC's P/E of 61.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.52% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
ISGEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ISGEC history (-16%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISGEC 2027 | ₹414 | ₹720 | ₹1,231 | -22% |
| ISGEC 2028 | ₹259 | ₹554 | ₹1,197 | -40% |
| ISGEC 2029 | ₹168 | ₹431 | ₹1,107 | -53% |
| ISGEC 2030 | ₹114 | ₹341 | ₹1,004 | -63% |
| ISGEC 2031 | ₹78 | ₹260 | ₹869 | -72% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ISGEC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ISGEC
- Isgec Heavy Engineering is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,107.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 61.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹168.
ISGEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ISGEC compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹414–₹1,231, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ISGEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ISGEC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ISGEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ISGEC price target & forecast page.
ISGEC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ISGEC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
ISGEC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ISGEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the ISGEC MTF page.
ISGEC vs peers,sector comparison
About Isgec Heavy Engineering: sector, index & market-cap context
Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,038 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the ISGEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Isgec Heavy Engineering's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ISGEC analysis, FAQs
Is Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) a good buy?
On the numbers, Isgec Heavy Engineering (ISGEC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 61.3× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ISGEC overvalued or undervalued?
ISGEC trades at 61.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ISGEC share price target for 2031?
ISGEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹260, with an 80% range of ₹78–₹869 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ISGEC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ISGEC reaching ₹1,850 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for ISGEC?
Isgec Heavy Engineering is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ISGEC?
A rich 61.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 4.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.