Case study

ISGEC

Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited

Tread carefully1y model +2.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ISGEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) trades at ₹815,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.2× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ISGEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,990 Cr
Current price
₹815
P/E ratio
52.2×
P/B ratio
2.19×
Book value
₹372
Dividend yield
0.61%
ROCE
10.8%
ROE
4.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How ISGEC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ISGEC overvalued? ISGEC P/E vs peers

ISGEC trades at 52.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ISGEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ISGEC history (5%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ISGEC 2027₹489₹839₹1,440+3%
ISGEC 2028₹403₹863₹1,851+6%
ISGEC 2029₹349₹888₹2,258+9%
ISGEC 2030₹306₹913₹2,728+12%
ISGEC 2031₹282₹940₹3,136+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ISGEC goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,632 within 5 years

The bull case for ISGEC

  • Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,258.

The bear case & risks

  • ISGEC's P/E of 52.2x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ISGEC's return on equity of 4.2% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹349.

ISGEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ISGEC compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹489-₹1,440, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ISGEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹489-₹1,440
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.8%
80% range₹349-₹2,258
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.2%
80% range₹282-₹3,136
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)28%

ISGEC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ISGEC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ISGEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ISGEC price target & forecast page.

ISGEC Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ISGEC scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

ISGEC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ISGEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.93%2.9×
Groww34.12%2.9×
Dhan33.93%2.9×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money34.27%2.9×
Pocketful34.54%2.9×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.93%2.9×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India34.09%2.9×

Compare every broker on the ISGEC MTF page.

About Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,990 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ISGEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ISGEC analysis, FAQs

Is Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited (ISGEC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.2× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ISGEC overvalued or undervalued?

ISGEC trades at 52.2× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ISGEC share price target for 2031?

ISGEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹940, with an 80% range of ₹282-₹3,136 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ISGEC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ISGEC reaching ₹1,632 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for ISGEC?

Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ISGEC?

ISGEC's P/E of 52.2x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ISGEC's return on equity of 4.2% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ISGEC